AW: AW: [ RadSafe ] Chernobyl's Reduced Impact

John Jacobus crispy_bird at yahoo.com
Tue Sep 13 14:59:34 CDT 2005


Howard,
You missed the point.  But that is not unusual.  

Would you have recommended that the Japanese evacuate
during the bombings of WWII because the residual
activity would be < 10 rem?

--- howard long <hflong at pacbell.net> wrote:

> John and all,
> Will LNT fears (cancer risk with <10rem) increase
> panic? 
> With a dirty bomb in DC, could it cause stampede, as
> fear did in Baghdad?
> Can education and Nukalerts prevent disaster 
> by reassurance of no harm unless exposed to that
> level for >X hours or days?
>  
> "Fear itself, is our greatest fear" (or something
> like that from FD Roosevelt)
> 
> Howard Long
> 
> John Jacobus <crispy_bird at yahoo.com> wrote:
> Howard,
> At the time of the evacuation, I doubt the exposure
> levels were known or any projections were made. 
> 
> --- howard long wrote:
> 
> > Forced evacuation from Chernobyl areas with
> > <10rem/year greatly worsened the economic impact.
> So
> > LNT use by gov greatly worsens damage, as it would
> > after a dirty bomb in Washington, DC.
> > Howard Long
> > 
> > John Jacobus wrote:
> > Rainer,
> > Do you know of anyone who has a fear of chronic
> low
> > level ionizing radiation exposure? Do the current
> > "survivors" of Chernobyl fear chronic radiation
> > exposure? Or are there other social factors
> > involved,
> > like a depressed economy and an authorian
> government
> > that does not care for the welfare of its people.
> I
> > believe that a government is best judged by how it
> > treats the least powerful citizens. 
> > 
> > I certainly believe that the panic exceeded the
> > actual
> > risks, but I believe that is due to poor
> government
> > planning, education, and the distrust of its
> > citizens.
> > 
> > 
> > Was it this distrust that brought the Green
> parties
> > into power, or were there other factors, like
> > unemployment?
> > 
> > 
> > --- Rainer.Facius at dlr.de wrote:
> > 
> > > John:
> > > 
> > > Man-made and natural disasters are REAL
> phenomena.
> > 
> > > 
> > > Fear of health risks from chronic low level
> > ionizing
> > > radiation is unreasonable and in case of
> Chernobyl
> > > was excessive (to the utmost) and hence meets
> the
> > > criterion for phobia (see below). Its spell on
> the
> > > minds of the afflicted victims derives mostly
> (in
> > my
> > > view entirely) from the ill-advised notion that
> > "any
> > > small amount of radiation entails some health
> > > detriment" which is the layman's version of the
> > LNT
> > > postulate. 
> > > 
> > > The extent of this lunacy reached - as so often
> -
> > > its ridiculous though relatively harmless
> pinnacle
> > > in Germany when some 8000 tons of "contaminated
> > > whey" (try "verstrahlte Molke" or
> "Strahlenmolke"
> > > in Google) were transported cross-country
> (Bremen
> > <
> > > -- > Nordrhein-Westfalen < -- > Niedersachsen <
> --
> > > > Bayern) to and fro under police protection,
> kept
> > > in safe interim custody in army depots until
> after
> > a
> > > decade it was - in part - 'decontaminated' in a
> > > "hazardous waste" combustion plant at costs of
> > more
> > > than 1000 DM per ton. The cows yielding the
> > original
> > > milk had been grazing on 'contaminated' Bavarian
> > > meadows in the weeks after the Chernobyl
> debacle.
> > If
> > > you are capable of reading German you might wish
> > to
> > > amuse yourself by checking the URLs below. Yet,
> > > since in Germany the putative aftermath of the
> > > Chernobyl disaster turned out to become the
> > > "founding myth" of the Green movement which
> > finally
> > > succeeded to terminate the legal use of nuclear
> > > power generation, it might not be too amusing to
> > > read these manifestations of radiophobia.
> > > 
> > > 
> > > 
> > >
> >
>
/**********************************************************/
> > > 
> > > 
> > > Diagnostic Criteria for "Phobia"
> > > (http://www.mentalhealth.com/dis1/p21-an04.html
> > > ):
> > > 
> > > 
> > > 
> > > "Marked and persistent fear that is excessive or
> > > unreasonable, cued by the presence or
> anticipation
> > > of a specific object or situation"
> > > 
> > >
> >
>
/**********************************************************/
> > 
> > 
> > +++++++++++++++++++
> > "Every now and then a man's mind is stretched by a
> > new idea and never shrinks back to its original
> > proportion." -- Oliver Wendell Holmes, Jr.
> > 
> > -- John
> > John Jacobus, MS
> > Certified Health Physicist
> > e-mail: crispy_bird at yahoo.com
> > 
> > 
> > 
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> 
> 
> +++++++++++++++++++
> "Every now and then a man's mind is stretched by a
> new idea and never shrinks back to its original
> proportion." -- Oliver Wendell Holmes, Jr.
> 
> -- John
> John Jacobus, MS
> Certified Health Physicist
> e-mail: crispy_bird at yahoo.com
> 
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+++++++++++++++++++
"Every now and then a man's mind is stretched by a new idea and never shrinks back to its original proportion." -- Oliver Wendell Holmes, Jr.

-- John
John Jacobus, MS
Certified Health Physicist
e-mail:  crispy_bird at yahoo.com

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