[ RadSafe ] Scientist changes mind

John Jacobus crispy_bird at yahoo.com
Sun Jul 30 19:08:57 CDT 2006


Jim,
I doubt he is worried about funding as the
"cherry-picking" of his data by those with a political
agenda.  I am sure you know a good deal about that
problem.

--- "Muckerheide, Jim  (CDA)"
<Jim.Muckerheide at state.ma.us> wrote:

> Hi Maury,
> 
> Thanks.  Maybe the last paragraph means he needs to
> fix any "confusion" to get on the "good side" of his
> funding agencies!?  :-) 
> 
> Regards, Jim
> 
> 
> -----Original Message-----
> From:	radsafe-bounces at radlab.nl on behalf of Maury
> Siskel
> Sent:	Thu 7/27/2006 9:54 PM
> To:	Peter Thomas
> Cc:	radsafe
> Subject:	Re: [ RadSafe ] Scientist changes mind
> 
> In order to minimoze distortions,
> misinterpretations, and around the 
> bush beating,. here is the straight skinny by Dr.
> Doran
> Maury&Dog
> ________________
> 
> New York Times
> July 27, 2006
> Op-Ed Contributor
> 
> 
>   Cold, Hard Facts
> 
> By PETER DORAN
> 
> Chicago
> 
> IN the debate on global warming, the data on the
> climate of Antarctica 
> has been distorted, at different times, by both
> sides. As a polar 
> researcher caught in the middle, I’d like to set the
> record straight.
> 
> In January 2002, a research paper about Antarctic
> temperatures, of which 
> I was the lead author, appeared in the journal
> Nature. At the time, the 
> Antarctic Peninsula was warming, and many people
> assumed that meant the 
> climate on the entire continent was heating up, as
> the Arctic was. But 
> the Antarctic Peninsula represents only about 15
> percent of the 
> continent’s land mass, so it could not tell the
> whole story of Antarctic 
> climate. Our paper made the continental picture more
> clear.
> 
> My research colleagues and I found that from 1986 to
> 2000, one small, 
> ice-free area of the Antarctic mainland had actually
> cooled. Our report 
> also analyzed temperatures for the mainland in such
> a way as to remove 
> the influence of the peninsula warming and found
> that, from 1966 to 
> 2000, more of the continent had cooled than had
> warmed. Our summary 
> statement pointed out how the cooling trend posed
> challenges to models 
> of Antarctic climate and ecosystem change.
> 
> Newspaper and television reports focused on this
> part of the paper. And 
> many news and opinion writers linked our study with
> another bit of polar 
> research published that month, in Science, showing
> that part of 
> Antarctica’s ice sheet had been thickening — and
> erroneously concluded 
> that the earth was not warming at all. “Scientific
> findings run counter 
> to theory of global warming,” said a headline on an
> editorial in The San 
> Diego Union-Tribune. One conservative commentator
> wrote, “It’s ironic 
> that two studies suggesting that a new Ice Age may
> be under way may end 
> the global warming debate.”
> 
> In a rebuttal in The Providence Journal, in Rhode
> Island, the lead 
> author of the Science paper and I explained that our
> studies offered no 
> evidence that the earth was cooling. But the
> misinterpretation had 
> already become legend, and in the four and half
> years since, it has only 
> grown.
> 
> Our results have been misused as “evidence” against
> global warming by 
> Michael Crichton in his novel “State of Fear” and by
> Ann Coulter in her 
> latest book, “Godless: The Church of Liberalism.”
> Search my name on the 
> Web, and you will find pages of links to everything
> from climate 
> discussion groups to Senate policy committee
> documents — all citing my 
> 2002 study as reason to doubt that the earth is
> warming. One recent Web 
> column even put words in my mouth. I have never said
> that “the 
> unexpected colder climate in Antarctica may possibly
> be signaling a 
> lessening of the current global warming cycle.” I
> have never thought 
> such a thing either.
> 
> Our study did find that 58 percent of Antarctica
> cooled from 1966 to 
> 2000. But during that period, the rest of the
> continent was warming. And 
> climate models created since our paper was published
> have suggested a 
> link between the lack of significant warming in
> Antarctica and the ozone 
> hole over that continent. These models,
> conspicuously missing from the 
> warming-skeptic literature, suggest that as the
> ozone hole heals — 
> thanks to worldwide bans on ozone-destroying
> chemicals — all of 
> Antarctica is likely to warm with the rest of the
> planet. An 
> inconvenient truth?
> 
> Also missing from the skeptics’ arguments is the
> debate over our 
> conclusions. Another group of researchers who took a
> different approach 
> found no clear cooling trend in Antarctica. We still
> stand by our 
> results for the period we analyzed, but unbiased
> reporting would 
> acknowledge differences of scientific opinion.
> 
> The disappointing thing is that we are even debating
> the direction of 
> climate change on this globally important continent.
> And it may not end 
> until we have more weather stations on Antarctica
> and longer-term data 
> that demonstrate a clear trend.
> 
> In the meantime, I would like to remove my name from
> the list of 
> scientists who dispute global warming. I know my
> coauthors would as well.
> 
> Peter Doran is an associate professor of earth and
> environmental 
> sciences at the University of Illinois at Chicago.
> 
> 
> Peter Thomas wrote:
> 
> >So did he actually change his mind and were they
> your words or someone
> >else's?
> >
> >All I heard was someone asking that 
> >  
> >
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> 
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+++++++++++++++++++
>From the Slate:

Cheez Whiz In His Veins: Harry Olivieri, credited with co-inventing the 
Philly cheesesteak, died at 90. "My father is just as famous as the man 
who created the wheel," his daughter said, "except the wheel is a 
little less fattening and it won't end up on your hips."

-- John
John Jacobus, MS
Certified Health Physicist
e-mail:  crispy_bird at yahoo.com

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