[ RadSafe ] Radon consensus
Earley, Jack N
Jack_N_Earley at RL.gov
Mon May 17 10:10:53 CDT 2010
Otto's responses are the clearest, most objective discussion since Bernard Cohen's that I have ever seen on this topic. Hormesis studies w/ paramecia were part of the U.S. Navy training back in the 70s; I suspect that they aren't today. Thanks Otto.
Jack Earley
Sr. Health Physicist
Don't Say It - WRITE IT!
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> Date: Fri, 14 May 2010 08:55:35 -0700
> From: "Otto G. Raabe" <ograabe at ucdavis.edu>
> Subject: Re: [ RadSafe ] Radon consensus question
> To: "Brennan, Mike (DOH)" <Mike.Brennan at DOH.WA.GOV>,
> radsafe at health.phys.iit.edu
> Message-ID: <20100514162258.3B15D400B7CF at agni.phys.iit.edu>
> Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii"; format=flowed
>
> At 02:27 PM 5/13/2010, you wrote:
> >I recognize there are people on Radsafe that do not agree with the EPA
> >Action Level of 4 pCi/l of radon in air, and I respect that. I am a
> >little curious about how high the levels have to be before there is
> >consensus that something should be done.
> ********************************
> May 14, 2010
>
> An "action level" of 8 pCi/L in homes would not be unreasonable.
>
> A careful case control study of radon in homes shows that lung cancer
> adjusted odds ratio (relative risk) goes DOWN markedly as radon
> concentration goes UP from 25 Bq/m3 to 250 Bq/m3. Only for radon
> concentrations well above 250 Bq/m3 does the risk begin to rise (R.E.
> Thompson, D.F. Nelson, J.H. Popkin, Z. Popkin, "Case-Control Study of
> Lung Cancer Risk from Residential Radon Exposure in Worcester County,
> Massachusetts, Health Physics 94: 228-241, March 2008).
>
> In addition, the downward slope in risk that was observed in this
> newer study seems to overlay almost perfectly the lung cancer
> mortality reduction slope shown by Bernard Cohen in his 1995 Health
> Physics paper (B.L. Cohen, "Test of the Linear-No Threshold Theory of
> Radiation Carcinogenesis for Inhaled Radon Decay Products". Health
> Physics 68. 157-174, 1995).
>
> The authors of the newer paper explain quite well the reasons that
> caused previous case-control studies to obscure this phenomenon.
>
> My own studies of internal emitters suggest that a lifetime lung dose
> less than 20 Sv is unlikely to result in a significant lifetime risk
> of lung cancer induction (O.G. Raabe, Concerning the Health Effects
> of Internally Deposited Radionuclides, Health Physics 98: 515-536,
> 2010). Of course, there is the probable synergistic effect of
> cigarette smoking that needs to be considered at higher (but not
> lower) radon levels.
>
> Calculating imaginary lung cancer deaths as EPA apparently does for
> exposures below 4 pCi/L is shear nonsense!
>
> Most homes in Colorado are well above 4 pCi/L and Colorado has one of
> the lowest lung cancer rates of all of the 50 States.
>
> Otto
>
> **********************************************
> Prof. Otto G. Raabe, Ph.D., CHP
> Center for Health & the Environment
> University of California
> One Shields Avenue
> Davis, CA 95616
> E-Mail: ograabe at ucdavis.edu
> Phone: (530) 752-7754 FAX: (530) 758-6140
> ***********************************************
>
> ------------------------------
>
> Message: 7
> Date: Fri, 14 May 2010 09:39:22 -0700
> From: "Otto G. Raabe" <ograabe at ucdavis.edu>
> Subject: Re: [ RadSafe ] Radon consensus question
> To: Dan W McCarn <hotgreenchile at gmail.com>, "'Brennan, Mike \(DOH\)'"
> <Mike.Brennan at DOH.WA.GOV>
> Cc: radsafe at agni.phys.iit.edu
> Message-ID: <20100514163645.43698400B7CF at agni.phys.iit.edu>
> Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii"; format=flowed
>
> At 04:26 PM 5/13/2010, Dan W McCarn wrote:
> >Given that the technology exists to easily lower the concentration
> >significantly (active ventilation, etc.) at a moderate cost; then I think
> >the ALARA principle is applicable.
> ******************
> ALARA is implicitly based on a linear dose-response risk model that
> does not apply to protracted low dose-rate exposures.
>
> Otto
>
> **********************************************
> Prof. Otto G. Raabe, Ph.D., CHP
> Center for Health & the Environment
> University of California
> One Shields Avenue
> Davis, CA 95616
> E-Mail: ograabe at ucdavis.edu
> Phone: (530) 752-7754 FAX: (530) 758-6140
> ***********************************************
>
> ------------------------------
>
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>
> End of RadSafe Digest, Vol 301, Issue 1
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