[ RadSafe ] Global Stuff

[Karen Street]

I always suggested to people that they not cite Lovelock as what he said did not overlap well with scientific consensus. So far as I can tell from the article, he is admitting to just that. But I doubt that any in science believe that climate consensus will collapse because one analyst who didn't participate in the process that begins with peer review admits he was wrong.

Re Earth not warming as fast as had been predicted, there is a range of predictions. If Earth is heating at the 0.2°C/decade predicted, then the range of expected temperature increases over any particular decade actually includes some decades with cooling, because of weather (eg, lots of La Ninas). That said, 2010 is the hottest year on record, despite the sun being the coolest on record (since satellite measurements began in the 1970s) and despite the huge increase in particulates from coal and other fossil fuels which cool the Earth, temporarily. So IPCC's prediction, consensus predictions, look good; Lovelock's not so much.

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change was created to report scientific consensus, but it's a slow process. The most recent set of reports is 5 years old, based on information that is >6 years old. For more recent understanding, you can go to NOAA or the lads in East Anglia. 

On Apr 24, 2012, at 5:03 AM, John R Johnson wrote:

> Brad
> 
> Thanks. That is closer to my view of reality.
> 
> John
> 
> On Mon, Apr 23, 2012 at 7:12 PM, Brad Keck <bradkeck at mac.com> wrote:
> 
>> John,
>> 
>> Lovelock has softened his view:
>> 
>> 
>> http://www.huliq.com/3257/climate-scientist-james-lovelock-says-he-was-wrong-about-catastrophic-global-warming
>> 
>> Something approaching the raw global temperature data can be had at NOAA:
>> http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/
>> 
>> if you work at it a while :}  But it is still always better to plot the
>> data yourself than just listen to the lads in East Anglia!   Also, insomnia
>> just melts away..
>> 
>> Best,
>> 
>> Brad Keck
>> 
>> 
>> 
>> 
>> On Apr 23, 2012, at 1:08 PM, JPreisig at aol.com wrote:
>> 
>>> J.R. Johnson,
>>> 
>>>     Is there a reference referred to in the  google news item???  I
>> don't
>>> know.
>>> He seems to be an independent researcher.  The gentleman has written
>> books
>>> on global warming.
>>> Maybe his data source references are in one of his books???
>>> 
>>>     I suspect global warming data, in general,  might be available from
>>> NASA/Goddard Space Center,
>>> US NOAA and its weather branches, etc.  The British may have similar
>>> meteorological agencies.
>>> 
>>>    I remember some of the global warming reports  coming out of the
>>> University of East Anglia
>>> (Britain).  A weather/atmospheric/meteorology professor out of Penn
>> State
>>> (Dr. Mann) was also the
>>> source of some of the global warming articles.
>>> 
>>>   I guess a google search on global warming  or   earth AND temperature
>>> might be a good source
>>> of information.  See also Wikipedia????
>>> 
>>>  Hope you find what you want.     Joe  Preisig
>>> 
>>> 
>>> 
>>> 
>>> 
>>> In a message dated 4/23/2012 1:56:23 P.M. Eastern Daylight Time,
>>> idiasjrj at gmail.com writes:
>>> 
>>> Isthere  a reference to data that supports his opinion?
>>> 
>>> J. R. Johnson
>>> 
>>> On  Mon, Apr 23, 2012 at 10:29 AM, <JPreisig at aol.com> wrote:
>>> 
>>>> Dear Radsafe:
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>>   From:     _jpreisig at aol.com_ (mailto:jpreisig at aol.com)     .
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>>  Hey all,
>>>> 
>>>>   Hope you are well.   Google news today has a  news item about one
>>>> of the Global Warming gurus
>>>> (Lovelock???)  and describes how he is stepping back from his original
>>> dire
>>>> predictions for Earth
>>>> Global Warming and the Earth's future.   Seems temperature data for the
>>>> Earth is indicating (over
>>>> the  last decade or so) that the Earth isn't getting as  toasty/hot as
>> he
>>>> had predicted.  Please read the news
>>>> item if you so  desire.
>>>> 
>>>>       Was it all just  Earth  polar motion (Chandler Wobble, Annual
>>>> Wobble) or other  things????
>>>> Guess we'll see in the near future...
>>>> 
>>>> Google news today also has  a news item about  the DARPA (not
>>>> DAPRA!!!!!) hypersonic
>>>> plane and recent tests  trying to go MACH 20 (MACH 20, Geez, is that
>>> really
>>>> necessary; how  much acceleration/velocity can a human or payload
>>>> stand???).  The  news item
>>>> addresses how the hypersonic plane/spacecraft  failed.
>>>> 
>>>>      And for my friends in   Pennsylvania, eastern Pennsylvania has
>>>> natural gas and western
>>>> Pennsylvania has coal.  I'm sure USA power companies will be using
>> both
>>>> resources over the next
>>>> 20 to 50 years.  And when  everything else is gone, the USA will still
>>> have
>>>> nuclear power  and
>>>> coal.  I do remember there are a few nuclear plants in   Pennsylvania.
>>>> 
>>>>     Is it time for  Atmospheric researchers  to jump off the global
>>>> warming  bandwagon????
>>>> 
>>>>     Maybe if DARPA can  lower the MACH  number a bit, one of us Health
>>>> Physicists,
>>>> Nuclear Engineers, Medical Physicists, Physicists etc. can  take a trip
>> on
>>>> the hypersonic plane/
>>>> spacecraft to  Mars???!!!!
>>>> 
>>>>    Have a great  week.
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>>    Regards,      Joseph R.  (Joe)  Preisig

--
Best wishes, 
Karen Street
Friends Energy Project
blog http://pathsoflight.us/musing/index.php