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[JPreisig at aol.com]

Dear Radsafe:
 
 
      From:    _jpreisig at aol.com_ (mailto:jpreisig at aol.com)     .
 
 
      Hello,
 
 
      A few days ago google news reported some  source in Iran stating that 
Iran has rocket launch
capability, with range of 6000 km.  Statement was made that such a  missile 
could reach the USA.
Oh my.
 
     In the last few days National News (USA) reports  that Israel may go 
to war with Iran in the
next few months.   If it happens, I hope the war is only  conventional 
weapons.  Hope World diplomats
are on top of this.
 
     Sure, this discussion belongs somewhere else than  here on Radsafe.  
Sorry, I'm posting this
anyway.
 
     If Iran is just getting into the nuclear arms  business, then perhaps 
they have 1-10 Nuclear
devices and one launch missile for each Nuclear device.  This would be  
sufficient to take out 
1 to 10 Israeli cities???  Ouch...
 
     Israel has supposedly had nuclear weapons  capability for many years 
now.  I suspect they also
have significant launch capability.  My crude estimate is that Israel  
would be capable of 
launching 10 to 20 nuclear missiles.  Iran's major cities would also  be 
gone, with significant
population loss in Iran.  I'm sure the US government has better  estimates 
of nuclear weapon
numbers and launch capability for each of these countries.
 
    As a first thought, I would make sure that I knew where  all ships in 
the Iranian navy is, if
such a navy exists.  Non-military ships also.
 
    Clearly the USA is able to counter severely any first  strike by the 
Iranian nation.  Iran would be 
gone.  
 
     Hope all nations involved are having some  restraint right now.
 
     Regards,    Joseph R. (Joe)  Preisig, PhD