[ RadSafe ] Nuclear power, irrigation, drought etc.
JPreisig at aol.com
JPreisig at aol.com
Thu Jan 15 15:42:04 CST 2015
Hope you are all quite well. If a severe drought is coming to the
USA and elsewhere in the next 11 years or so, then maybe one would like to
expand irrigation in California and elsewhere from fresh water sources.
Conventional nuclear plants and the new small modular nuclear reactors might be
useful in powering this irrigation. I'm also hearing lately on the
internet that researchers in Australia have solar cells or whatever that now have
a 40% solar conversion efficiency.
I expect the USA drought will grow outward from California to
elsewhere in the USA. Perhaps drought experts should be consulted about how
drought grew in 1932-34 and in the surrounding decade (US Dust Bowl). I expect
the current drought will occur from 2020 +/- 6 years or so. The previous
Earth polar motion wobble amplitude peaks occurred in 1910, 1954, 1998 and
eventually in 2042. The in-between times (between peaks) were. 1932,
1976, and eventually 2020. Earth polar motion is the Annual Earth wobble,
Chandler Wobble 1, Chandler Wobble 2, Markowitz wobble???, offsets and trends.
These various wobbles are described in books by Munk and MacDonald,
Lambeck I and Lambeck II. The frequencies/periods of these wobbles were
estimated by Linda Hinnov (Johns Hopkins Geology now???) and Joseph R. Preisig
using Multi-Window spectrum estimation techniques. These techniques are
described in the book by Percival and Walden. The Multi-Window technique used
by Hinnov and/or Preisig was that developed by Thompson/Thomson and is
described in Proceedings of the IEEE --- the exact Thompson/Thomson reference is
given in Percival and Walden. Thompson/Thomson has revised his
Multi-Window spectrum estimation algorithm since his original article was published.
An abstract about this was published in an American Geophysical Union Fall
or Spring set of meeting abstracts. Hinnov's and Preisig's period
estimates might need some revision.
Earth polar motion data sets are ILS (International Latitude Service)
data (from 1900 on), IPMS data, and VLBI data (see Satellite Laser Ranging
data also). See NASA Goddard Space Flight Center VLBI Group's website for
the data. The VLBI data are quite good from 1984 until now. One can plot
the VLBI data directly versus time or perhaps compute amplitude and phase
computations of the data. One can see the peaks and minima I have
Don't know how useful Thompson/Thompson's Multi-Window techniques are
for analyzing photon, gamma, alpha, neutron spectrum data.
The reason to look at the polar motion data in detail would be to see
how bad the current drought is going to be and when it will be. The
current winter seems pretty dry. The Earth's icecaps are reforming after all
this global warming???
I would volunteer to do all this data analysis if someone would
volunteer to pay me. If not, I shall have to find something else to do. Take
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