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RE: 100 rad
July 9, 2001
Based on my own studies I expect that 100 rem exposure received at a low
dose rate over 20 years will result in little or no increase in cancer in
the population of people who were exposed. The ICRP linear model is invalid
for estimating cancer risk for these people because the dose response for
such protracted exposures is not linear. In addition, risk estimates based
on collective dose are invalid because it is clear from studies of chronic
exposure that small doses do not yield effects that are proportional to
large doses. See Raabe, "Evidence against the linear, no-threshold theory
of radiation carcinogenesis," pp. 791-794 in RADIATION RESEARCH, Volume 2,
CONGRESS PROCEEDINGS, 11th International Congress of Radiation Research (M.
Moriarty, C. Mothersill, C Seymour, M. Edington, J.F. Ward, R.J.M. Fry,
Editors), International Association for Radiation Research, 2000.
Otto
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Prof. Otto G. Raabe, Ph.D., CHP
Institute of Toxicology & Environmental Health
(Street Address: Bldg. 3792, Old Davis Road)
University of California, Davis, CA 95616
E-Mail: ograabe@ucdavis.edu
Phone: (530) 752-7754 FAX: (530) 758-6140
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