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shadis replies to farber
Raymond Shadis wrote:
> Dear Mr. Farber,
> Please reconcile your notion of limited offsite consequences for
> radiological sabotage with the offsite dose estimates and dose distributions
> in appendix A of the NCRP Draft Report SC 46-14 " Radiation Protection
> Issues Related to Terrorist Activities That Result in a Dispersal of
> Radioactive Material, " September 2000.
>
> Graphs in that document show some extraordinary doses ( 600 REM) at about
> 110 kilometers 24 hours Post-Blast for 100 kg of 5 year old fuel distributed
> by 1000 lbs of TNT ( equivalent). As near as I can tell the estimates were
> modeled by Tom Dahlstrom of Bechtel in Nevada. The graphs and accompanying
> tables were thrown out in the final report NCRP 138,October 24, 2001, as
> was the title.
>
> 138 avoids quantification of radioactive material dispersal and dose and is
> accordingly retitled, "Management of Terrorist Events Involving Radioactive
> Material."
>
> Some interesting, though strained, language remains in NCRP 138 on page 16,
> " Spent nuclear fuel elements could also be targeted, but they contain much
> less radioactive material than an operating reactor plant because of the
> rapid decay fission products.
> Concerning the affected area, health hazards would be similar to that which
> occurred at Chernobyl, but on a significantly smaller scale...Areas at risk
> from high-level radioactive waste dispersed by a large explosive device can
> be many miles from the source. With a smaller amount of source material and
> explosive, the area of concern is more in the range of several city blocks
> or a few miles from the target area."
>
> Coincidently, I had lunch today with a CNO from a large nuclear utility who
> stated quite emphatically that he did not disagree with the consequence
> figures in the SC 46-14 Draft. Could you please put a rosy hue on all this
> so that I don't engage in too much hand-wringing?
>
> Thanks for all your diligent work in protecting the public health from
> radiation hazards, minimal though they may be.
>
> Raymond
> Shadis
> Friends
> of the Coast
> Staff
> Advisor
> New
> England Coalition
>
> ----
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