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RE: COGEMA Says No to LNT
Off topic response to an off topic comment. Questions to email, please
I heard it as Tennessee, and that it was done to appease some
fundamentalists who were basing their "science" on the description of
Solomon's 'molten sea' in 1 Kings 7:23. (Actually, I understand there is a
subtlety in the Hebrew that makes the ratio amazingly accurate, if read
correctly.)
Dave Neil neildm@id.doe.gov
-----Original Message-----
From: Johansen, Kjell [mailto:Kjell.Johansen@nmcco.com]
Sent: Tuesday, May 14, 2002 10:10 AM
To: Radsafe (E-mail)
Subject: Re: COGEMA Says No to LNT
RADSAFE:
For what it's worth, I remember reading, about 25 years ago, in a volume
called the Proceedings of the Indiana Academy of Science published back in
the teens of the last century an article decrying the fact that the Indiana
legislature had passed a law making p = 3 because it was easier for the
school children to remember. It was too hard for school children to
remember 3.14156 or 3 1/7th. Therefore everyone in Indiana would use 3 as
the value of p.
It seems that many folks like LNT for the same reason. It is easier to work
with. It's so much easier to make predictions as to the number of deaths or
whatever from cumulative small doses if we have a liner relationship that
extends down to zero. It also may help in other predictions. But, as any
good modeler will tell you, it doesn't matter how good your model is in
explaining your data, it isn't worth a damn in making predictions beyond
your data points if it doesn't reflect reality.
As many people have pointed out in messages to RADSAFE, there are a myriad
of documented studies where LNT fails in the real world. However, we will
not get agreement by name calling and accusation. So, as Bjorn, and others,
previously said, can't we raise the level of discussion on this topic?
Read the whole statement someone posts instead of getting all worked up
about what you think they said or by what you concluded by reading it with
your own personal biased glasses working at 120%.
Just my own opinions and no necessarily those of my employer.
Kjell Johansen, PhD
Point Beach Nuclear Plant
Two Rivers, WI
kjell.johansen@nmcco.com
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