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RE: Cancer mortality rates
The links that John Jacobus provides give thyroid cancer incidence rates
that are somewhat higher than the incidence rate I cited (2 thyroid cancers
per 100,000 population per year), but the 0.5/100,000 rate he gives is the
mortality rate, not the incidence.
Best regards.
Jim Dukelow
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
Richland, WA
jim.dukelow@pnl.gov
These comments are mine and have not been reviewed and/or approved by my
management or by the U.S. Department of Energy.
-----Original Message-----
From: Jacobus, John (OD/ORS) [mailto:jacobusj@ors.od.nih.gov]
Sent: Friday, July 12, 2002 6:19 AM
To: Earley, Jack; radsafe@list.vanderbilt.edu
Subject: RE: Cancer mortality rates
Jack,
Okay, my first comment is his statement "I am a consumer advocate for cancer
research and related activities. . ."
Second, looking at the NCI data which can be found at
http://seer.cancer.gov/csr/1973_1999/sections.html
On page 11 of the thyroid cancer table,
http://seer.cancer.gov/csr/1973_1999/thyroid.pdf, the incidence is
0.5/100,000 (all races, sex, ages)
Now, looking at page 11 for all cancer sites,
http://seer.cancer.gov/csr/1973_1999/allsites.pdf, the incidence rate is
206/100,000
>From the table on page 19 of the overview,
http://seer.cancer.gov/csr/1973_1999/overview.pdf, new incidences of thyroid
cancer was lower for all types but seven of 23 having lower incidence in the
last five years. And there are really big differences between thyroid and
several of the other incidence rates. While the incidence rate is going up,
the mortality rate is down, with a 96% 5-year survival rate.
I am certainly impress with Marlene's great attention to statistical detail.
I guess if you pick and choose, you can get the results you want. Not a new
concept is it.
I am not sure why the comment, "Several multiyear studies show that low
levels of radiation actually stimulate the immune system." was added, since
it has no relevance to the rest of the letter.
-- John
John Jacobus, MS
Certified Health Physicist
3050 Traymore Lane
Bowie, MD 20715-2024
E-mail: jenday1@email.msn.com (H)
-----Original Message-----
From: Jack_Earley@RL.GOV [mailto:Jack_Earley@RL.GOV]
Sent: Thursday, July 11, 2002 7:25 PM
To: radsafe@list.vanderbilt.edu
Subject: Cancer mortality rates
The following letter is from the Tri-City Herald, July 10,2002:
Cancer death rates lower here
One in eight Americans will develop thyroid cancer.
The only consistent and overall highest incidence of thyroid cancer
deaths (rated 10 on a scale from one to 10, with 10 being highest) from
1950-1994, per the National Cancer Institute, is concentrated around
Houston, Texas, and, for females only, in one small county each in central
Pennsylvania, north central Ohio and eastern Michigan.
The overall cancer death rate from 1950-1994 for Benton and Franklin
counties [location of Hanford site] is below the national average. The
1950-1994 highest cancer death rates overall are in King County (Seattle)
and Multnomah County (Portland).
Several multiyear studies show that low levels of radiation actually
stimulate the immune system.
I am a consumer advocate for cancer research and related activities,
am associated with the National Cancer Institute, and am Northwest chair of
the National Association of Cancer Patients.
For more information, see www.cancerpatients.org
<http://www.cancerpatients.org>.
Marlene Oliver, West Richland
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