[ RadSafe ] Nuclear Power Plant Effluents
RuthWeiner at aol.com
RuthWeiner at aol.com
Mon Feb 28 13:35:28 CET 2005
In a message dated 2/26/2005 6:21:50 PM Mountain Standard Time,
BLHamrick at aol.com writes:
know that many people respond by saying that driving a car is a
"voluntary" risk, but what about the risk to pedestrians or bicyclists - are
they
"volunteering" for the risk of your driving above 5 miles per hour? Are
they
assuming that risk by venturing outside at all? And, what of those rare
occasions when a car goes careening into someone's living room? Did they
"volunteer"
for that risk? A rare occurrence, yes, but death by nuclear power is much
rarer in the U.S. Much, much rarer.
We need to find ways to make the mathematics and statistics of risk analysis
more accessible to the public, so they can get a better feel for the issues.
Your example of the large statistical error in the speedometer as you
approach "zero" speed is a good tool for such a venture
I agree with Barbara except for a couple of embellishments:
1. In most cities and towns in the U.S. driving is not voluntary in the
sense that you can just choose not to. This is only true in cities with good mass
transit and where employment is also accessible by mass transit, where
driving might be voluntary. In most places people have to drive to get to work, to
get medical care (or get it for their children) to go to the market, etc.
2. The concepts of risk are as accessible as any mathmatical concept that
the public has ever been asked to understand in the last century. simple
example: everyone understands that wearing seat belts reduces accident risks and
consequences; most people, even smokers, understand that smoking is bad for
you;everybody seems to understand that some drugs increase the risk of heart
disease. I don't think we can get more accessible.
People believe exactly what they want to believe. Nukes and radiation are a
great target because you can't see radiation or feel it, images of atom bomb
explosions keep being tossed at us, about a quarter of the people in the U. S
are going to get some kind of cancer anyway and it's great to have something to
blame it on.
At some point we should "just say no" as we have with other societal
misconceptions. Just say we know the risks are infinitesimal, and if you don't
believe me, that's your problem, not mine.
RUth
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