[ RadSafe ] WISE Uranium calculators - related question

Franta, Jaroslav frantaj at aecl.ca
Mon Jun 13 18:04:47 CEST 2005


Otto G. Raabe wrote:
The risk estimates given by the uranium calculator at based on hypothetical 
(imaginary) linear mathematical models that may be in error as much as 100% 
at low exposure levels.

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Presumably the same could be said about other alpha emitters, like Pu, Am,
etc.

In an earlier post I asked about ICRP's calculation of the Water
Dilution Volumes (WDVs) required to meet regulatory safety limits for spent
nuclear fuel (SNF) disposal (or long-term storage).

Specifically, in calculating the WDVs as a function of time following
discharge of SNF from a reactor, and plotting that curve on a graph that
also shows the horizontal reference line for U-ore, Eisenbud says
("Environmental Radioactivity," 4th Ed.) that the big difference in x-over
points between NRC (<1000y) and ICRP (>10,000y) is due mainly to the Np237
change in absorption factors for transfer from the intestines to blood,
which ICRP changed in its Part 2 of Publication 30 (1979 - 1988), and which
US agencies (NRC) later adopted.

One might think that it should be a straight forward calculation to compare
radiotoxicity vs time for SNF and U-ore.
But that's obviously not the case, since the x-over point moves around by
orders of magnitude, depending on the assumed absorption factors and, more
importantly, whether one applies LNT to very low dose levels.

Does anyone know what the WDV curve for SNF would look like if an
appropriate, threshold-type dose-response relationship were applied in place
of LNT ?
What is the HPS's position on this ? ....RSH ?

Thanks very much.

 Jaro Franta, P.Eng.
Tel.: (514) 875-3444
Montréal, Québec
frantaj at aecl.ca
web master, CNS Québec branch:
http://www.cns-snc.ca/branches/quebec/quebec.html

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