[ RadSafe ] Nuclear power plants;
radiological bombs not on top of list o...
BLHamrick at aol.com
BLHamrick at aol.com
Thu Mar 17 05:29:28 CET 2005
In a message dated 3/16/2005 3:16:34 P.M. Pacific Standard Time,
crispy_bird at yahoo.com writes:
"There's risk everywhere; risk is a part of life," Mr.
Chertoff said in testimony before the Senate last
week. "I think one thing I've tried to be clear in
saying is we will not eliminate every risk."
This is the most intelligent statement I've seen with respect to our
response to potential, future terrorist attacks.
There are two things that I think have substantially reduced the risk of
another attack with the same MO as the 9/11 attacks: 1) we're locking the
cockpits, and 2) everyone now knows that the highjackers don't necessarily want
to land safely (as was the prior "common" wisdom), so passengers will be more
aggressive in defending the airliner.
Other measures taken or proposed will only reduce additional risk in very
small measure.
And, to bring this around to radiation safety, I think we see the same
misguided over-reaction to potential risks in our regulation of radiation
exposure. Whether or not the LNT represents reality, let us at least consider that a
goal of limiting any increased risk of cancer incidence to 1E-6 or less over
a lifetime is a silly goal (and, I mean literally silly, as in absurdly
humorous and frivolous and wasteful to boot), given that the overall lifetime
risk of cancer is about .3.7E-1 for women and 4.9E-1 for men (in the U.S.).
Those billions of dollars we could be spending on universal healthcare, or
to maintain some public system of social security are just being siphoned away
by fear of an agent that is not actually known to cause harm in low doses or
at low dose-rates. Those dollars could prevent the very real deaths we see
every day from gang violence, from lack of emergency (or even routine)
healthcare, or from lack of proper support equipment for our troops around the
world.
Billions over the years (really, add it up), spent on hypothetical,
unidentifiable future deaths vs. real dead people. We need a better system of risk
communication to put these things in perspective, in my opinion.
Barbara L. Hamrick
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