Re[2]: Risk Calculation Analogies

["USHINO, TOSH" <ushinot@songs.sce.com>]

Dr. Marvin Goldman wrote: 

>How about this one.  If everyone on this planet were to put a one inch lift 
>in their shoes for just one year, every one would receive a small, one-year 
>increase in cosmic radiation dose.  Cosmic dose doubles for every 2000 
>meters in altitude.  Now if you multiply this collective dose by the 
>population of the planet and by the ICRP fatal cancer risk coeffiecient, 
>you find that in the next 49 years that the increased global dose has 
>caused about 1,500 additional cancer fatalities.

     This may explain why my grandparents in Japan lived to such a ripe old 
     age and may explain logevity in general in Japan (I can get away with 
     saying that).  Looks like I have something to look forward, ...eh... 
     up to.
     
     Tosh Ushino