[ RadSafe ] The good news about nuclear destruction
webmaster at ki4u.com
Wed Aug 30 17:07:11 CDT 2006
I'm inviting discussion about the primary theme in my article
below that public nuclear civil defense training would be both
beneficial and needs to be aggressively promoted by the govt.
The good news about nuclear destruction
Posted: August 24, 2006
1:00 a.m. Eastern
By Shane Connor
What possible good news could there ever be about
nuclear destruction coming to America, whether it
is dirty bombs, terrorist nukes or ICBMs from afar?
In a word, they are all survivable for the vast
majority of American families, if they know what
to do beforehand and have made even the most modest preparations.
Tragically, though, most Americans today won't
give much credence to this good news, much less
seek out such vital life-saving instruction, as
they have been jaded by our culture's pervasive
myths of nuclear un-survivability.
Most people think that if nukes go off, then
everybody is going to die, or will wish they had.
That's why you hear such absurd comments as: "If
it happens, I hope I'm at ground zero and go quickly."
This defeatist attitude was born as the
disarmament movement ridiculed any alternatives
to their agenda. The sound Civil Defense
strategies of the '60s have been derided as being
largely ineffective, or at worst a cruel joke.
With the supposed end of the Cold War in the
'80s, most Americans neither saw a need to
prepare, nor believed that preparation would do
any good. Today, with growing prospects of
nuclear terrorism, we see emerging among the
public either paralyzing fear or irrational
denial. People can no longer envision effective
preparations for surviving a nuclear attack.
In fact, though, the biggest surprise for most
Americans, if nukes are really unleashed, is that they will still be here!
Most will survive the initial blasts because they
won't be close enough to any "ground zero," and
that is very good news. Unfortunately, few people
will be prepared to survive the coming
radioactive fallout, which will eventually kill
many times more than the blast. However, there is
still more good news: Well over 90 percent of the
potential casualties from fallout can be avoided
if the public is pre-trained through an
aggressive national Civil Defense educational
program. Simple measures taken immediately after
a nuclear blast, by a trained public, can prevent
agonizing death and injury from radiation.
The National Planning Scenario No. 1, an
originally confidential internal 2004 study by
the Department of Homeland Security, demonstrated
the above survival odds when they examined the
effects of a terrorist nuke going off in
Washington, D.C. They discovered that a 10
kiloton nuke, about two-thirds the size of the
Hiroshima bomb, detonated at ground level, would
result in about 15,000 immediate deaths and
another 15,000 casualties from the initial blast,
thermal flash and radiation release. As horrific
as that is, the surprising revelation here is
that over 99 percent of the residents in the D.C.
area will have just witnessed and survived their
first nuclear explosion. Clearly, the good news
is most people will survive the initial blast.
The study also determined that another 250,000
people would soon be at risk from lethal doses of
radiation from the fallout drifting downwind
toward them after the blast. These much larger
casualty numbers are avoidable, and that's more
good news, but only for those pre-trained by a
Civil Defense program in what to do before it arrives.
Another study, released this month by the Rand
Corporation, looked at a terrorist 10-kiloton
nuke arriving in a cargo container and being
exploded in the Port of Long Beach, Calif. Over
150,000 people were estimated to be at risk
downwind from fallout, again, many more than from the initial blast itself.
Today, lacking any meaningful Civil Defense
program, millions of American families continue
to be at risk and could perish needlessly for
lack of essential knowledge that used to be taught at the grade school level.
The public urgently needs to be instructed in
Civil Defense basics, like the good news that
thousands can be saved employing the old "Duck
and Cover" tactic, without which most people will
instead run to the nearest window to see what the
big flash was just in time to be shredded by the
glass imploding inward from the shock wave. They
need to know when promptly evacuating, doing so
perpendicular to the coming downwind drift of the
fallout would be their best strategy. They must
also be taught how to effectively shelter in
place for a brief time while the radioactive
fallout loses 90 percent of it's lethal intensity
in the first seven hours and 99 percent of it in
two days. For those requiring sheltering from
fallout, the majority would only need a couple or
three days of hunkering down, not weeks on end.
This good news is within easy grasp of most
people because an effective improvised family
fallout shelter can be put together at home both
cheaply and quickly, but only if the public is
trained beforehand, as was begun in the '60s with
our national Civil Defense program.
Unfortunately, our government today is doing
little to promote nuclear preparedness and Civil
Defense instruction among the general public.
Regrettably, most of our officials, like the
public, are still captive to the same illusions
that training and preparation are ineffective against a nuclear threat.
Department of Homeland Security head Michael
Chertoff demonstrated this attitude last year
when he responded to the following question in USA Today:
Q: In the last four years, the most horrific
scenario a nuclear attack may be the least
discussed. If there were to be a nuclear attack
tomorrow by terrorists on an American city, how would it be handled?
A: In the area of a nuclear bomb, it's
prevention, prevention, prevention. If a nuclear
bomb goes off, you are not going to be able to
protect against it. There's no city strong enough
infrastructure-wise to withstand such a hit. No
matter how you approach it, there'd be a huge loss of life.
Mr. Chertoff fails to grasp that most of that
"huge loss of life" is preventable if the
survivors of the blast and those downwind knew
what to do beforehand. He only acknowledges that
the infrastructure will be severely compromised
responders won't be responding. Civil Defense
training of the public is clearly the only hope
for those in the fallout path. Of course, the
government should try and prevent it happening
first, but the answer he should have given to
that question is: "preparation, preparation,
preparation" for when prevention might fail.
The federal government must launch a national
mass media, business-supported and even
school-based effort, superseding our most
ambitious public awareness campaigns like for
AIDS, drug abuse, drunk driving, seat belts,
anti-smoking and smoke detectors. The effort
should percolate down to every level of our
society. Let's be clear we are talking about
the potential to save, or lose, many times more
lives than those saved by all these other noble efforts combined!
Instead, Homeland Security continues to be focused primarily on two missions:
1. Interdiction -- stopping nuclear materials and terrorists at the border
2. COG -- Continuity of Government for when No. 1 fails
The most important mission has been largely ignored:
3. Continuity of the Public -- proven mass media
Civil Defense training of the public that would
make the survival difference for the vast
majority of Americans affected by a nuclear event.
This tragic and deadly oversight won't change
until the crippling myths of nuclear
un-survivability are banished by the good news
that a trained and prepared public can, and
ultimately has to, save themselves.
National Civil Defense is an issue we hope and
pray will come to the forefront politically this
fall, with both parties vying to outdo each other
in proposing aggressive Civil Defense educational
programs. We are not asking billions for
provisioned public fallout shelters for all, like
what already awaits many of our politicians. We
are just asking for a comprehensive mass media,
business- and school-based re-release of the
proven practical strategies of Civil Defense
education, similar to what already has been
embraced by the Chinese, Russians, Swiss, Israelis and even Singapore.
In the meantime, though, don't wait around for
the government to instruct and prepare your own
family and community. Educate yourself today and
begin establishing your own nuclear survival
preparations by reading the free nuke prep primer
<http://www.ki4u.com/guide.htm>"What To Do If A
Nuclear Disaster Is Imminent!" at www.ki4u.com/guide.htm
Then pass copies on to friends, neighbors,
relatives, churches and even local news media
and to your local elected representatives with
a brief note attached saying simply: "We
hope/pray we never need this, but just in case,
read it now, and keep it close for later on!" You
might also forward them a copy of this article to
help spread the good news that's liberating
American's from the deadly myths of nuclear un-survivability!
<mailto:webmaster at ki4u.com>Shane Connor is the
CEO of <http://www.ki4u.com/>www.ki4u.com and
consultants and developers of Civil Defense
solutions to government, military, private
organizations and individual families.
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