[ RadSafe ] FW: [NucNews] On Chernobyl Death Toll

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Subject: [NucNews] On Chernobyl Death Toll

Greenpeace rejects Chernobyl toll

Tuesday, 18 April 2006 (BBC)

http://news. <http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/4917526.stm>
bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/4917526.stm

The health effects of the Chernobyl nuclear disaster in Ukraine 20 years ago
have been grossly under-estimated, says an environmental charity.

Official UN figures predicted up to 9,000 Chernobyl-related cancer deaths.

But Greenpeace says in a report released on Tuesday that recent studies
estimate that the actual number of such deaths will be 93,000.

Stressing that there is a problem with diagnosis, it adds that other
illnesses could take the toll to 200,000.

"Our problem is that there is no accepted methodology to calculate the
numbers of people who might have died from such diseases," Greenpeace
campaigner Jan van de Putte told Reuters news agency.

"The only methodology that is accepted is for calculating fatal cancers."

The explosion and fire at the Chernobyl nuclear plant in April 1986 was the
world's worst nuclear accident.

It spread a cloud of radioactive particles across a huge swathe of Europe.

Several million people still live in contaminated areas.

Disputed figures

The UN figure - of between 4,000 and 9,000 extra cancer deaths - came from a
report released last October by the UN-led Chernobyl Forum.

HOW MANY DIED?
Acute Radiation Sickness (ARS) deaths in 1986: 28
ARS patients who died later: 19 (some from other causes)
Others who died during explosion: 2
Child thyroid cancer deaths (1992-2002): 15 (UN figure)
Predicted extra cancer deaths: from 4,000 (UN) to 93,000 (Greenpeace)
Estimated deaths from non-cancer causes 1990-2004: 107,000 (Greenpeace)
Dozens killed in accidents building sarcophagus (according to an engineer)

How the disaster unfolded

In the report, the World Health Organization dramatically lowered the
estimated Chernobyl death toll, suggesting confusion had been caused over
the accident's impact.

Many emergency and recovery workers, the report suggested, had died since
1986 from natural causes which could not be attributed to radiation
exposure.

But in its report, Greenpeace suggests there will be 270,000 cases of cancer
alone attributable to Chernobyl fallout, and that 93,000 of these will
probably be fatal.

Blake Lee-Harwood, campaigns director at Greenpeace, told the BBC that
cancer was likely to be the cause of less than half of the final fatalities.

"We're also looking at intestinal problems, heart and circulation problems,
respiratory problems, endocrine problems, and particularly effects on the
immune system," he told the BBC's World Today programme.

Child victims

Mr Lee-Harwood cited technical reasons for the discrepancy.

However, he also alleged that the nuclear industry had a "vested interest in
playing down Chernobyl because it's an embarrassment to them".

Doctor Oxana Lozova, who works at a children's hospital in Rivne district,
300km (190 miles) west of Chernobyl, said many generations appeared to be
affected.

"I think the fallout from Chernobyl has affected the immunity of those who
were young children at the time of the disaster," she told the BBC's Moscow
correspondent, Damian Grammaticas.

"We now have to deal with people who are a lot weaker than their fathers and
grandfathers were.

"They're falling ill at an age when they really should still be quite fit."

'Apples and oranges'

The WHO said comparing the Chernobyl Forum and Greenpeace reports was like
"comparing apples and oranges" when it spoke to the BBC News website.

"The Greenpeace report is looking at all of Europe, whereas our report looks
at only the most affected areas of the three most affected countries," said
WHO spokesman Gregory Hartl.

"The WHO felt it had recourse to the best national and international
scientific evidence and studies when it came up with its estimates of [up
to] 9,000 excess deaths for the most affected areas. We feel they're very
sound."

Mr Hartl rejected accusations of bias toward the nuclear industry in the
report.

"We acting as [neither] an apologist nor an attacker of the nuclear
industry," he said.

The original report found more than 600,000 people received high levels of
exposure, including reactor staff, emergency and recovery personnel and
residents of the nearby areas. 

__._,_.___ 

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