[ RadSafe ] The hot and cold of history & journalistic credibility

Harold Careway hacrad at comcast.net
Thu Feb 8 12:39:43 CST 2007


I hope the "implications" from the way this was stated are not true.
Deriving coefficients in a model to incorporate past data is easy to do but
never (1) accurate or (2) precise.  The coefficients must have a sound
theoretical basis in science or be derived from hypotheses which can be
challenged and verified.  If this is true then the model could be more
justifiable.

 

Secondarily, multiple models can be built that will do the same validation
by past measurements but must be verified by hypothesis and future
prediction.  That is one reason string theory is so under fire, no future
predictions.

 

Hal Careway

San Jose, CA

 

 

>  The current models, when run back in time, reproduce the observations.

>  Bill Prestwich

 

>  Gary Damschen wrote:

 

> If the science behind anthropomorphic contributions to Global Warming is
so

> settled, then could someone explain what seems to be a growing number of

> articles similar to this one?

 




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