[ RadSafe ] Chris Busby

Otto G. Raabe ograabe at ucdavis.edu
Fri Apr 22 12:13:58 CDT 2011

At 02:17 AM 4/22/2011, Dr. Busby wrote:

>1. Its is a comparison of two probabilities. "Very small" is not a 
>quantitative measure. You have to compare the probability of a Y90 
>decay in 12 hours with the probability of the same cell getting 2 
>hits in 12 hours from the same dose of external radiation. However 
>small the absolute probability for one atom sequence the number of 
>atoms involved is very large (as the overall contamination goes 
>up)  and so the product gives you the probability of a second event 
>in the body/tissue. The probability of a second event from external 
>is vanishingly small though calculable. There are 10^13 cells. The 
>probability of two tracks from external is 1 in E-26. The 
>probability from two tracks from Sr90 Y90 is a lot less (12 hr 
>period and 64hr decay so the enhancement is about E+22 for a simngle 
>atom, decay internal vs external.
>2. Not if they are bound to the DNA in condensed form. Furthermore, 
>there is the ionisation change at the decay locus from 
>transmutation. Sr++ to Y+++ is an ionisation. Then Y+++ to Zr is 
>also an ionisation from transmutation redox. And even if it is very 
>small (you can work it out on complete randomness into 4pi) it is 
>not as small as E-26 and there are a lot of atoms.
>3. But why doesnt someone do the experiment??
April 22, 2011

I don't see the point. What is this supposed to prove? Dr. Busby's 
imaginary model doesn't  relate to any biologically observed phenomena.

Lifetime studies in laboratory animals fed Sr-90 from birth and other 
lifetime studies of laboratory animals injected with Sr-90 have 
already been performed. They do not show any increase in cancer risk 
for cumulative doses below about 10 Sv. In beagles there was a 
statistically significant (p<0.047) reduction in the lifetime 
incidence of osteosarcoma associated with lifetime skeletal doses 
less than 10 Sv.


Prof. Otto G. Raabe, Ph.D., CHP
Center for Health & the Environment
University of California
One Shields Avenue
Davis, CA 95616
E-Mail: ograabe at ucdavis.edu
Phone: (530) 752-7754   FAX: (530) 758-6140

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