[ RadSafe ] Psychological Impacts of Chernobyl

[Steven Dapra]

May 3


"Dr. Chris Busby, another physicist says there is a rage in the 
people in Tokyo and he now predicts based on his calculations that 
800,000 people out of about 8 million who live within 200 kilomters 
[sic] of the plant will contract cancer if they are not moved out."

         Here's the link:

http://www.infowars.com/fukushima-exposure-levels-going-up-everywhere/

         Busby cleverly does not say whether these are excess 
cancers, or whether they are cancers which will occur no matter what.

         A day or two ago I asked for his calculations.  So far they 
have not shown up.

Steven Dapra


At 01:49 PM 5/3/2011, you wrote:
>According to the CDC 
>(http://apps.nccd.cdc.gov/uscs/cancersbyraceandethnicity.aspx) and 
>if I read it correctly,
>even if all 8 million lived to be 80 years or older, the rate for 
>all cancers would be about 2.5 in 100.
>
>How much of an increase in the cancer incidence does Dr. Busby 
>attribute to Fukushima, which ones are radiation induced, and what 
>are his calculations that resulted in this prediction?
>
>Ken Savitz
>
>-----Original Message-----
>From: radsafe-bounces at health.phys.iit.edu 
>[mailto:radsafe-bounces at health.phys.iit.edu] On Behalf Of Harry Reynolds
>Sent: Tuesday, May 03, 2011 2:46 PM
>To: The International Radiation Protection (Health Physics) Mailing 
>List; The International Radiation Protection (Health Physics) Mailing List
>Subject: Re: [ RadSafe ] Psychological Impacts of Chernobyl
>
>The statement below by Dr. Busby is actually very defensible.
>
>~800,000 people (or ~10% of the population) within 200 kilometers or
>anywhere with a population of 8 million will contract cancer if they are
>not moved out.  They will also contract cancer if they are moved out.
>
>It is a very successful and probably intentional distortion of a true
>statement.
>
>
>Dr. Chris Busby, another physicist says there is a rage in the
> > >> people in Tokyo and he now predicts based on his calculations that
> > >> 800,000 people out of about 8 million who live within 200 kilomters
>
> > >> [sic] of the plant will contract cancer if they are not moved out."
> > >>
>
>Harry Reynolds