[ RadSafe ] Psychological Impacts of Chernobyl
sjd at swcp.com
Tue May 3 20:29:41 CDT 2011
"Dr. Chris Busby, another physicist says there is a rage in the
people in Tokyo and he now predicts based on his calculations that
800,000 people out of about 8 million who live within 200 kilomters
[sic] of the plant will contract cancer if they are not moved out."
Here's the link:
Busby cleverly does not say whether these are excess
cancers, or whether they are cancers which will occur no matter what.
A day or two ago I asked for his calculations. So far they
have not shown up.
At 01:49 PM 5/3/2011, you wrote:
>According to the CDC
>if I read it correctly,
>even if all 8 million lived to be 80 years or older, the rate for
>all cancers would be about 2.5 in 100.
>How much of an increase in the cancer incidence does Dr. Busby
>attribute to Fukushima, which ones are radiation induced, and what
>are his calculations that resulted in this prediction?
>From: radsafe-bounces at health.phys.iit.edu
>[mailto:radsafe-bounces at health.phys.iit.edu] On Behalf Of Harry Reynolds
>Sent: Tuesday, May 03, 2011 2:46 PM
>To: The International Radiation Protection (Health Physics) Mailing
>List; The International Radiation Protection (Health Physics) Mailing List
>Subject: Re: [ RadSafe ] Psychological Impacts of Chernobyl
>The statement below by Dr. Busby is actually very defensible.
>~800,000 people (or ~10% of the population) within 200 kilometers or
>anywhere with a population of 8 million will contract cancer if they are
>not moved out. They will also contract cancer if they are moved out.
>It is a very successful and probably intentional distortion of a true
>Dr. Chris Busby, another physicist says there is a rage in the
> > >> people in Tokyo and he now predicts based on his calculations that
> > >> 800,000 people out of about 8 million who live within 200 kilomters
> > >> [sic] of the plant will contract cancer if they are not moved out."
> > >>
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