[ RadSafe ] Scenarios

Ahmad Al-Ani ahmadalanimail at yahoo.com
Fri Feb 24 15:59:36 CST 2012

"From the map on this page,generated by the Defense Department software,we can see that within 48 hours, prevailing winds would spread fallout to cover a large area in Iran, most of Afghanistan and then spread on into Pakistan and India. There is little likelihood, in most seasons, that rain would mitigate the spread of fallout"

That and more from page 10 of this http://tinyurl.com/6vdlmu7

You are so obsessed with Iran's reactor, yet you think that it is being cooled from a river. Here is some basic facts  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bushehr_Nuclear_Power_Plant 


> From: "JPreisig at aol.com" <JPreisig at aol.com>
>To: radsafe at health.phys.iit.edu 
>Sent: Friday, February 24, 2012 10:29 PM
>Subject: [ RadSafe ] Scenarios
>Dear Radsafe,
>     From:    _jpreisig at aol.com_ (mailto:jpreisig at aol.com)    
>     Hope you all are well.  Here is a brief  discussion of some scenarios 
>involving a reactor or
>whatever in Iran.
>     In Health Physics etc. one of the accident  simulation scenarios is 
>something like what will
>happen to a reactor if a 747 airplane crashes into the containment  
>building.  So let's build upon that
>      Suppose a 747 jet crashes into a building  housing centrifugal U235 
>enrichment machines, and the 
>facility is above ground.  I guess such a crash would release Uranium  
>Hexafluoride (or 
>whatever chemical gas is involved) to the atmosphere.  Countries East  of 
>Iran might be
>affected in such a scenario.  Such a release doesn't seem very ominous  to 
>me.   I guess the 
>Iranians could limit such an accident from happening by placing their  
>enrichment facility underground.  Does such a facility exist???   Sure, 
>something other
>than a 747 jet (if you catch my Bunker Buster drift) could crash into  such 
>a facility.
>     What kind of peaceful reactor does Iran  have???  Is it a PWR 
>(Pressurized Water Reactor)
>or a BWR (Boiling Water Reactor) and what is the power level (in MegaWatts  
>or whatever)???
>Is this reactor as big, power-wise as a typical US power reactor????
>      Well. now consider a 747 jet airplane (or  whatever) crashing into 
>the containment of
>Iran's peaceful energy reactor.  Is the containment building up  to US 
>safety standards???
>Who built the reactor --- France, USSR, China, or someone else????   Let's 
>say the containment
>building fails miserably and the reactor core loses its cooling  water.  A 
>Chernobyl type
>event in a rather arid part of the world.  I suppose there is extra  
>cooling water nearby from a river
>to supply emergency cooling water.  Iran's response to such an  accident 
>would be to try to 
>restore cooling water to the reactor, and barring that, to cover the  
>reactor with dirt, concrete etc.
>Of course, the Iranian nuclear engineers, health physicists, emergency  
>response personnel
>would be picking up considerable dose equivalent responding to the  
>incident.  If this were to
>happen, would Iran accept help from outside nations???
>     Of course, depending on the weather conditions  around the time and 
>vicinity of the reactor
>and reactor accident, countries immediately to the East of Iran might  
>suffer some
>considerable exposure risk.  Any cropland involved might be affected  also.
>     Of course, Iran's next reactor might be built  underground????!!!!!
>     So, there you go, something to think about for the  rest of today.
>     And I didn't even say Israel even  once...OOOOOPSSSS!!!!!
>     Regards,     Joseph R. (Joe)  Preisig, PhD
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