[ RadSafe ] Drought

Dan McCarn hotgreenchile at gmail.com
Fri Jan 4 00:43:06 CST 2013

Hi Joe:

Years ago, I did a flood-frequency & magnitude study of a desert stream,
the Purgatoire River, in SE Colorado.  The Purgatoire flows east from the
Sangre de Cristo Mountains near Trinidad and then turns NE and forms a
deep, 1000 ft canyon.  The Purgatoire (Picketwire) flows into the Arkansas

I noticed a very well correlated trend in the water levels recorded from
about 1910 through 1977. The frequency of events above "base level" was at
a minimum during solar maximum and a maximum at solar minimum over 4 or 5
solar cycles.  These reflected storm events causing runoff. I've only
recently understood the reason behind this periodicity; about increased
cloud formation when Fe-cosmic rays penetrate the upper atmosphere and for
vapor tracks.  The cosmic rays are more abundant during solar minimums.
 The last two major floods on the Purgatoire coincided approximately with
solar minimums (1955 and 1965).

Report No. USACE-ABQ-2010-003, Prepared by Gregory D. Everhart for the U.S.
Army Corps of Engineers, Albuquerque, (USACE). July 13, 2010

P. 34 "Trinidad has been devastated by floods since the time that people
started living in the area. Heavy flooding was reported in the years of
1866, 1883, 1886,while major flooding occurred in 1921, 1925, 1929, and
1934, 1955, and 1965, and disastrous floods in 1904 and 1942. " With
continued efforts of politicians, local leaders, and the public in general,
a project study for the solution of the problems at Trinidad was included
in the Flood Control Act of 1936."
We are close to Solar Maximum, so I would expect rainfall events to be less
than the norm.  You mentioned what appears to be a multidecadal oscillation
of climate.  This has been recorded directly and with dendro-chronological
data (tree ring data) that support this as well.

Dan ii

Dan W McCarn, Geologist
108 Sherwood Blvd
Los Alamos, NM 87544-3425
+1-505-672-2014 (Home – New Mexico)
+1-505-670-8123 (Mobile - New Mexico)
HotGreenChile at gmail.com (Private email) HotGreenChile at gmail dot com

On Thu, Jan 3, 2013 at 1:42 PM, <JPreisig at aol.com> wrote:

> Dear Radsafe:
>      Hey All.  OT----
>      Hope you all are well.  I expect the drought  in the USA (and Northern
> Hemisphere???) (and World???)
> will extend mostly in the time range 2020 +/- 6 years or so.  Earth  polar
> motion peaks (times of extremely
> warm summers and extremely cold winters) were in 1910, 1954, 1998,  (2042).
>  The in between
> Earth polar motion (i.e. Chandler Wobble(s) and Annual Wobble) times are
> 1932, 1976, 2020 etc.
> You may recall the Dust Storms (Central USA) in 1932.  See Ken Burns'
> Documentary on these hard
> times.  I personally do not recall conditions of drought in 1976 or
> thereabouts.  I expect, with only some
> fairly rudimentary evidence that 2020 will be much like 1932.
>     Canada will probably enjoy warm times in this time  period around 2020
> (i.e fairly warm winters).
>     Apparently there are reports of a fairly dry winter in  the midwest
> USA.  People in the Mississippi
> River Region are also reporting low River Water Levels.
>     Clearly the Earth's Ice Caps melt and re-solidify each  year, depending
> on whether the season is
> winter or Summer.  I suspect around 2020 that the Earth's Ice Caps  will
> re-solidify more and more
> as time goes on (especially with respect to recent times).  The  various
> Earth periodic solar and thermal
> cycles will continue onward and repeat.
>    As for any superimposed global warming signature, due to human  causes,
> well that has already been
> discussed here.  Various people have various opinions.  Data  taken over
> the next 5 to 10 years
> should resolve this question a bit.
>     We made it through December 21, 2012.   Whew!!!  Mayan Tourism is
> booming, apparently.
> From what I've heard on various Mayan Calendar TV shows, the Mayan Calendar
>  was computed for
> a full 26,000 years????  That seems to coincide with value of the main
> Precession Period --- 26,000
> years.  Maybe whoever was doing the computing, decided, with the crude
> computing tools they had
> at hand, that doing the calculation for one full Precession Period was good
>  enough.  Works for me.
>    As for highly enriched reactors, if the placement of more than  a few
> humans around a reactor
> causes it to go critical, then one needs to bring the enrichment down a
> bit???  Thanks for posting
> about such research projects way back when.
>      Regards,   Joe Preisig
> PS  If you live by the Mississippi River, and the water levels are  going
> down, I'm sure one can find all
>       kinds of neat things on the exposed river  bottom --- archeological
> finds, guns which have been
>       tossed in the river, cell phones, wedding  and/or engagement rings
> and so on.  Good hunting.
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