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Re: [Fwd: [DOEWatch] Deadly toll of Chernobyl]
This was IAEA's information considering the first period of: 1986-89: The
Initial Picture - Piecing Together the Facts
Assessing the Chernobyl Consequences
During the past decade, many international activities have helped assess the
Chernobyl accident's consequences. These activities can be divided into two
periods: those carried out before the 1990 International Chernobyl Project
which gave a fuller account of the accident, and those activities which
follow up the Project to the time of the International Chernobyl Conference
April 1996.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
August 1986: The Post-Accident Review Meeting. A widely attended
international gathering was organized by the IAEA a few months after the
accident: the "Post-Accident Review Meeting". The outcome was reported on by
the then recently created International Nuclear Safety Advisory Group,
INSAG.1
The INSAG report examined the causes of the accident and presented the
preliminary Soviet assessment of the amount of radioactive materials
released from the damaged reactor. It also contained a limited but
significant early account of the radiological consequences:
Of the on-site personnel, about 300 had to be hospitalized for radiation
injuries and burns.
135,000 people were evacuated: their collective dose from external radiation
was estimated to be 1.6x10exp4 man-sievert (man Sv).
Doses to thyroids were estimated to be mostly below 300 millisieverts (mSv),
although some children may have received thyroid doses as high as 2500 mSv.
The long-term collective dose to the population was pessimistically
estimated at 2x10exp6 man Sv with a realistic estimate at 2x10exp5 man Sv.
Taking into account the above, you get the final result, if you consider the
the ICRP 60, page 133 - B.5.13 - Recommended estimates of probability of
fatal cancer for low dose, low dose rate, low LET radiation, page 133, the
probability of fatal cancer induction after low dose, low dose rate
irradiation of the total population is 5x10exp(-2) per Sv
Jose Julio Rozental
joseroze@netvision.net.il
Israel
================
----- Original Message -----
From: ruth_weiner <ruth_weiner@email.msn.com>
To: Multiple recipients of list <radsafe@romulus.ehs.uiuc.edu>
Sent: Sunday, April 23, 2000 4:09 AM
Subject: Re: [Fwd: [DOEWatch] Deadly toll of Chernobyl]
> I believe the 30 immediate deaths (that has been quoted in several places)
> and I think the thyroid illness statistics are credible. I know of no
> backup documentation for the 15,000, or what they are said to have died
of.
>
> Ruth Weiner
> ruth_weiner@msn.com
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Norman & Karen Cohen <norco@bellatlantic.net>
> To: Multiple recipients of list <radsafe@romulus.ehs.uiuc.edu>
> Date: Saturday, April 22, 2000 5:49 PM
> Subject: [Fwd: [DOEWatch] Deadly toll of Chernobyl]
>
>
> >This is a multi-part message in MIME format.
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> >
> >Hi all,
> >
> >Without starting a big flame war, please, please
> >
> >Can I have some comments from you all as to whether you think the 15,000
> >killed number
> >is reasonable or not, and how some of you can defend the much lower
> >numbers I've seen in your postings.
> >
> >Clearly, I'm an anti-nuke power activist, but I also believe in dialogue
> >and listening.
> >
> >Peace
> >Norm Cohen
> >Coordinator, UNPLUG Salem Campaign
> >
> >--
> >Coalition for Peace and Justice and the UNPLUG Salem Campaign; 321 Barr
> >Ave., Linwood, NJ 08221; 609-601-8537 or 609-601-8583 (8583: fax, answer
> >machine) UNPLUG SALEM WEBSITE: http://www.unplugsalem.org/ COALITION
> >FOR PEACE AND JUSTICE WEBSITE: http://members.bellatlantic.net/~norco/
> >ICQ# 54268619; The Coalition for Peace and Justice is a chapter of Peace
> >Action.
> >“We have two lives, the one we’re given, and the other one we make”
> >(Mary Chapin Carpenter)
> >“Get up, stand up, stand up for your rights...Get up, stand up, don’t
> >give up the fight!” (Bob Marley)
> >
> >
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> >Subject: [DOEWatch] Deadly toll of Chernobyl
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> >Source:
> ><A
>
>HREF="http://news2.thls.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/world/europe/newsid_722000/722
> 533
>
>.stm">http://news2.thls.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/world/europe/newsid_722000/722
> 533
> >.stm</A>
> >==========================================================
> >April, 2000
> >Deadly toll of Chernobyl
> >
> >One of Chernobyl's nuclear reactors is still in operation
> >
> >About 15,000 people were killed and 50,000 left handicapped in the
> emergency
> >clean-up after the Chernobyl nuclear accident, according to a group
> >representing those who worked in the relief operations.
> >The number of invalids caused by the radiation has multiplied twelvefold
> >since 1991, says Viacheslav Grishin, president of the Chernobyl League.
> >
> >The Chernobyl plant was the scene of the world's worst civilian nuclear
> >accident in April 1986 - when its number four reactor exploded, sending a
> >radioactive cloud across much of Europe.
> >
> >
> >Chernobyl toll
> >30 killed immediately
> >15,000 relief workers killed
> >50,000 relief workers invalid
> >5 million exposed to radiation
> >52,000 fled the area around Chernobyl
> >The exact number of dead has never been given, but it is estimated that
> five
> >million people were exposed to radiation in Ukraine, Belarus and Russia.
> >
> >About 30 people were killed immediately and thousands were evacuated from
> the
> >region.
> >
> >Ageing faster
> >
> >Ukraine's Health Ministry estimates that 3.5 million people, over a third
> of
> >them children, have suffered illness as a result of the contamination,
and
> >the incidence of some cancers is 10 times the national average.
> >
> >First Deputy Health Minister Olga Bobylyova said: "The health of people
> >affected by the Chernobyl accident is getting worse and worse every year.
> >
> >"We are very disturbed by these data."
> >
> >Ms Bobylyova told a news conference that the death rate among workers
> exposed
> >to radiation while cleaning up Chernobyl has been rising.
> >
> >She said that the death rate among the "liquidators" - as the group is
> known
> >- was higher than among other people apparently because they are ageing
> >faster.
> >
> >Ms Bobylyova said most of the deaths were caused by poor blood
circulation,
> >cancer, respiratory and digestive diseases and traumas.
> >
> >She noted that thyroid cancer cases have increased 10 times in Ukraine in
> >general since the accident.
> >
> >One of Chernobyl's four nuclear reactors is still in operation.
> >
> >
> >Nuclear Information and Resource Service
> >OECD Nuclear Energy Agency: Chernobyl ten years on
> >Virtual Nuclear Tourist: Chernobyl
> >Chernobyl photographs
> >
> >The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites
> >
> >
> >Links to other Europe stories are at the foot of the page.
> >
> > ========================================================
> >
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> >
> >"We have discovered the most terrible bomb in the history of the world.
It
> may be the fire destruction prophesized in the Euphrates Valley Era, after
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> born" and grew into "Little Boy" and "Fat Man" and the hydrogen bomb
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> Hiroshima, enters "My God' in the log.
> >
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> prevention of disease."
> >-Attributed to Thomas Alva Edison
> >
> >"In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act"
> >-George Orwell
> >
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