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Re: LNT, Collective Dose



In a message dated 02/23/2001 3:55:41 PM Pacific Standard Time,
jjcohen@prodigy.net writes:


"But EPA acknowledges its authority "to establish nonzero MCLGs for
carcinogens if the scientific evidence" indicates that a "safe threshold"
exists. See Final Rule, 63 Fed. Reg. at 69,401/2. And petitioners here
assume the validity of the linear default assumption. "

-- I sure don't want to hurt EPA's feelings :-), but the above statement is
total nonsense. There is no way to prove a threshold. Logically, it is
impossible to prove any negative. If you administer a given low dose to a
million animals and observe no effect, how can you be certain that if you
gave it to just one more, the effect would not be observed. Maybe "extremely
unlikely" doesn't mean impossible, but it's good enough for me.


I agree with you 100% here, but just try that logic on the political bodies
and in courts of law...They have a hard time with the comprehending the utter
absurdity of trying to prove a negative...Hence we have things like the Tooth
Fairy project...an apt name, since I can't prove there are no Fairies
either...

Barbara