Re: Global Warming Again!

["Jerry Cohen" <jjcohen@PRODIGY.NET>]

Mike,

    Actually, it's much worse than your data would indicate. The average

temperature last year was 1.0 degree colder than this years average.

According to my computer model, I calculate that if this warming trend

continues,  the average temperature will rise 100 degrees in the next

century.

In a few millenia, the planet will melt. I've applied for an NAS grant to

study

the problem further, but have not yet received an answer. Meanwhile, I am

just running my air conditioner and hoping for the best :-)



> At 04:11 PM 7/18/01 -0700, Jerry Cohen wrote:

> >beginning some 4,000 years ago and running until the birth of Christ,

> >temperatures averaged between 1.5 and 3 degrees Celsius higher than they

> >do today.

>

> An important detail that has been omitted is: the rate of change. One

> degree change per thousand years has been observed before. The present

data

> tentatively indicate about a degree per decade, which is about 2 orders of

> magnitude larger than before.

>

> mike





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