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RE: TRAB and back to Re: Lung cancer mortality from radon versus ....
I logged back onto Radsafe merely to offer a suggestion to Dr. Cohen
concerning how he could improve his ecologic analyses. But then,
Michael Ford asked in his last post on this subject if I would like to
step in on this different debate.
Posting on these subjects is like getting drug in quick sand surrounded
by alligators. But, because I have been asked to comment I
will. Not commenting gives the impression the characterizations
from Mr. Ford are correct.
As I told Michael before, after their letter to then Gov. Bush was
published in the Billett, I received a half dozen emails from that local
Health Physics Chapter asking me to respond to what they perceived as the
misrepresentations of the Iowa Radon Lung Cancer Study in the
letter. I was sent a copy of the Billet and agreed that the Texas
Radiation Boards (TRAB) letter (which was published in the Billet) did
not present the facts clearly. I contacted members of the TRAB and
was told Mr. Ford drafted the letter, but it was approved by the whole
TRAB. I later found out that many of the erroneous statements in
the letter were influenced by postings on Radsafe about the Iowa
Study. I spoke to Mr. Ford and indicated I did not think that
Radsafe was a scientific forum and a good place to determine the validity
of a study. It was obvious the TRAB was not going to issue a
correction to their letter so I was left with writing a
letter-to-the-editor of the Billet, which was graciously published.
To this date, I have not heard any official response from the TRAB
concerning the letter. I have attached the letter below (I think it
was the last draft), which I sent to the Billet.
I would be happy to discuss any of the issues by direct email.
Posting on Radsafe appear to have a life on their own somewhat like the
numerous lives of a cat.
Iowa Radon Lung Cancer Study
Dear Editor,
The October 12, 2000 edition of the
Billet contained a copy of a July 28, 2000 letter written to the
Honorable George W. Bush and signed by Dr. Dale E. Klein on behalf of the
Texas Radiation Advisory Board (TRAB). In the letter, the
TRAB recommended that the State of Texas challenge the EPA’s proposed
rules in the Safe Drinking Water Act regarding waterborne radon. As
part of the justification for their position, the TRAB made misleading
allegations about the Iowa Radon Lung Cancer Study. The Iowa Radon
Lung Cancer Study (1) was a large-scale case-control epidemiology study
that found a statistically significant association between prolonged
residential radon exposure and lung cancer. The study was performed in
Iowa and the participants were women throughout Iowa who lived in their
current home for at least 20 years. The study was funded by the National
Institute of Environmental Health Sciences.
The TRAB letter contains three erroneous allegations. The first
false allegation was that the Iowa Radon Lung Cancer Study was only able
to establish statistical significance by omitting cases that died during
the study period. In fact, the study did NOT omit cases
that died during the study period. Analyses were performed on all cases
as well as on the subset of cases that were alive at time of interview.
In addition, contrary to the statement above, the trend in risk (odds
ratio) with increasing cumulative radon exposure was statistically
significant for the categorical analyses for all the subjects. The
trend analyses for the subset were also statistically significant.
The
second false allegation was that the study was only able to establish
statistical significance by carving up the data into non uniform
intervals. In fact, the method used to divide subjects into five
exposure categories was decided upon prior to analyzing any data. This
included the decision to place 15% of the subjects in the highest
exposure category so that there would be an adequate sample size for
analysis. The cumulative radon Working Level Month
(WLM) exposure categories were evenly spaced
intervals.
The
third false allegation was that the study was only able to establish
statistical significance by poorly correcting for disparities in smoking
histories between cases and controls. In fact, the study controlled
for smoking at the level of the individual. Detailed individual smoking
histories were obtained for all cases and controls. The cases’ smoking
histories do not need to match the smoking histories of the controls
since the effect of smoking can be adjusted for using standard
statistical methods. Moreover, misclassification of smoking status would
bias a study’s findings toward no association in the majority of cases.
In order to get a radon dose response relationship attributable to poor
recall of smoking, the misclassification of smoking would have to
correlate with radon exposure. In other words, individuals would have to
independently know their radon concentrations in their home and
increasingly under report their smoking habits as the residential radon
concentrations increase. Since most people in a study were unaware of the
radon concentrations in their home at time of interview, that is a very
unlikely scenario. Other papers supporting the methodologies used in the
Iowa Study are listed below (2-8).
R. William Field, Ph.D.
College of Public Health
N222 Oakdale Hall
University of Iowa
Iowa City, Iowa 52245
mailto: bill-field@uiowa.edu
1. Field,
R.W., Steck, D.J., Smith, B.J., Brus, C.P., Neuberger, J.S.,
Fisher, E.F. Platz, C.E., Robinson, R.A, Woolson, R.F., and Lynch,
C.F. Residential Radon Gas Exposure and Lung Cancer: The Iowa Radon
Lung Cancer Study, American Journal of Epidemiology, 151(11):
1091-1102, 2000.
2. Field,
R.W., Steck, D.J., Lynch, C.F., Brus, C.P., Neuberger, J.S., Kross, B.C.,
Residential Radon-222 Exposure and Lung Cancer: Exposure Assessment
Methodology. Journal of Exposure Analysis and Environmental
Epidemiology, 6(2): 181-195, 1996.
3. Field,
R.W., Smith, B.J., Brus, C.P., Lynch, C.F., Neuberger, J.S. and Steck,
D.J. Retrospective Temporal and Spatial Mobility of Adult Iowa
Women, Risk Analysis: An International Journal, 18(5): 575-584,
1998.
4. Fisher,
E.F., Field, R.W., Smith, B.J., Lynch, C.F., Steck, D.J., and Neuberger,
J.S. Spatial Variation of Residential Radon Concentrations: The Iowa
Radon Lung Cancer Study, Health Physics, 75(5): 506-513,
1998.
5. Field,
R.W., Lynch, C.F., Steck, D.J. and Fisher, E.F. Dosimetry Quality
Assurance: The Iowa Residential Radon Lung Cancer Study, Radiation
Protection Dosimetry, 78(4): 295-303, 1998.
6. Steck,
D.J., Field, R.W., and Lynch, C.F. Exposure to Atmospheric Radon
(222Rn) in Central North America,
Environmental Health Perspectives, 107(2):123-127, 1999.
7. Field,
R.W. , Lynch, C.F., Steck, D.J.,
Smith, B.J., Brus, C.P., Neuberger, J.S., Woolson, R.F., Fisher, E.F.
Platz, C.E., Robinson, R.A. Iowa Radon Lung Cancer Study,
Radiation Research, 151:101-103, 1999.
8. Field,
R.W. , Steck, D.J., Smith, B.J.,
Brus, C.P., Neuberger, J.S., Fisher, E.F., and Lynch, C.F. The Iowa Radon
Lung Cancer Study Phase I: Residential Radon Gas Exposure and Lung
Cancer, The Science of the Total Environment, 272: 367-72,
2001.
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