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Fw: Reid challenges Price Anderson Act/Worst case etc





----- Original Message -----

From: Jerry Cohen <jjcohen@prodigy.net>

To: Bjorn Cedervall <bcradsafers@hotmail.com>

Sent: Saturday, January 26, 2002 7:32 PM

Subject: Re: Reid challenges Price Anderson Act/Worst case etc





> Worst case, maximum credible, worst realistic, maximum reasonably

> forseeable, and similar concepts are all meaningless since they depend

> primarily on the imagination of the analyst. Accordingly, congress might

> just as well seek the opinons actors/actresses or someone in the arts.

> Certainly science has little to do with it. When I was doing risk

> assessments and was asked to determine worst case consequences, I would

ask,

> "What would you like them to be?"

> Politicians, like lawyers generally do not ask questions to which they do

> not already have a pretty good idea of what the answer will be. If they

need

> to get that answer from an actrress, so be it.

> BTW, if I recall correctly, each time you cross the street, the

probability

> that you will be killed is greater than 1E-7. I notice that politicians

and

> bureaucreats are still crossing streets.

>

>

>

>

> ----- Original Message -----

> From: Bjorn Cedervall <bcradsafers@hotmail.com>

> To: <jjcohen@prodigy.net>

> Sent: Saturday, January 26, 2002 5:59 PM

> Subject: Re: Reid challenges Price Anderson Act/Worst case etc

>

>

> > That makes it easy------

> > 1. Realistic:  Many megabucks expended; nobody gets hurt

> > 2. Worst Case:  Hugh meteor strikes Yucca Mountain site; all life on

earth

> > is destroyed.

> > 3. Actual Case: Somewhere in between

> > ---

> > I agree - well - we are drifting away from what I originally had in

mind.

> > Make instead a "worst realistic case". Then my question is: What could

> those

> > doses be to the public sometime in the future?

> >

> > What I had in mind? If an actor/actress could communicate this to the

U.S.

> > Senate (who takes the initiative?). I am not joking - it is about

getting

> > through with a message that politicians undertand.

> >

> > My personal ideas only,

> >

> > Bjorn Cedervall    bcradsafers@hotmail.com

> >

> >

> > _________________________________________________________________

> > Chat with friends online, try MSN Messenger: http://messenger.msn.com

> >

>

>



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