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Fw: Reid challenges Price Anderson Act/Worst case etc
----- Original Message -----
From: Jerry Cohen <jjcohen@prodigy.net>
To: Bjorn Cedervall <bcradsafers@hotmail.com>
Sent: Saturday, January 26, 2002 7:32 PM
Subject: Re: Reid challenges Price Anderson Act/Worst case etc
> Worst case, maximum credible, worst realistic, maximum reasonably
> forseeable, and similar concepts are all meaningless since they depend
> primarily on the imagination of the analyst. Accordingly, congress might
> just as well seek the opinons actors/actresses or someone in the arts.
> Certainly science has little to do with it. When I was doing risk
> assessments and was asked to determine worst case consequences, I would
ask,
> "What would you like them to be?"
> Politicians, like lawyers generally do not ask questions to which they do
> not already have a pretty good idea of what the answer will be. If they
need
> to get that answer from an actrress, so be it.
> BTW, if I recall correctly, each time you cross the street, the
probability
> that you will be killed is greater than 1E-7. I notice that politicians
and
> bureaucreats are still crossing streets.
>
>
>
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: Bjorn Cedervall <bcradsafers@hotmail.com>
> To: <jjcohen@prodigy.net>
> Sent: Saturday, January 26, 2002 5:59 PM
> Subject: Re: Reid challenges Price Anderson Act/Worst case etc
>
>
> > That makes it easy------
> > 1. Realistic: Many megabucks expended; nobody gets hurt
> > 2. Worst Case: Hugh meteor strikes Yucca Mountain site; all life on
earth
> > is destroyed.
> > 3. Actual Case: Somewhere in between
> > ---
> > I agree - well - we are drifting away from what I originally had in
mind.
> > Make instead a "worst realistic case". Then my question is: What could
> those
> > doses be to the public sometime in the future?
> >
> > What I had in mind? If an actor/actress could communicate this to the
U.S.
> > Senate (who takes the initiative?). I am not joking - it is about
getting
> > through with a message that politicians undertand.
> >
> > My personal ideas only,
> >
> > Bjorn Cedervall bcradsafers@hotmail.com
> >
> >
> > _________________________________________________________________
> > Chat with friends online, try MSN Messenger: http://messenger.msn.com
> >
>
>
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