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Re: Radon and Smoking (individual vs aggregate)
--I don't understand what you are saying, and you raise so many
points that it would take a lot of time to address each one, and I am very
short of time. If you could point to something you object to in any of my
papers, I will respond. Better yet, send a letter to the Editor and that
would justify the time it would take me to respond.
If you don't think I used the BEIR-IV formula, or if you don't
agree with my mathematical development of it to do what I did, please
specify very specifically what your objections are. Most of your
criticisms are too general. Be very specific.
Bernard L. Cohen
Physics Dept.
University of Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh, PA 15260
Tel: (412)624-9245
Fax: (412)624-9163
e-mail: blc@pitt.edu
On Wed, 20 Feb 2002, R. William Field wrote:
> Field wrote: I addressed a very specific problem below with your study. You
> state that a
> basic theory takes into account, "the most important things." I consider
> smoking intensity and duration two of the most important parameters to
> consider in validating your derived LNT formula.
>
> Dr. Cohen wrote: I am testing the BEIR formulas, and they do not include
> these
> things
>
> Field response:
>
> Dr. Cohen, the BEIR formulas DO indeed include "these things". As we
> explained many years ago, HPJ 75(1), July 1998, page 13. The BEIR model
> is quite general and allows for any degree of control for smoking. You can
> include factors such as pack-year rate and duration of smoking in addition
> to even non linear effects of smoking. As was pointed out in BEIR IV, "The
> choice of an appropriate age specific background rate for this calculation
> involves proper treatment of smoking, sex, and calendar time."
>
> Your previous response was that you "crudely" treat pack-year rate. But
> your crude treatment is after the cross-level bias already occurred. My
> point which you have ignored for years is that you have not derived an
> equivalent BEIR model. You can not assume smoking intensity and duration,
> are not important factors to include in your LNT derived formula. Then
> latter try to treat the problem of smoking intensity and duration by using
> aggregate data. You are not really testing the LNT using your formula.
> Your findings do not convince me the LNT fails, I am only convinced that
> your formula is not robust enough to test the LNT. It is not surprising, as
> Dr. Gilbert pointed out, that that your results are confounded by smoking,
> because other smoking related cancers are also negatively associated with
> your county radon data.
>
> Bill Field
>
>
>
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