Re: ARTICLE: Fallout likely caused 15,000 deaths

["Dennis M. Shanahan" <DMShanahan@attbi.com>]

http://www.ieer.org/offdocs/falloutprogrpt.pdf



What appears to missing in all the popular media discussions of this

feasibility study is the paragraph from page five:



"The usefulness of the doses estimated in this project is limited to

rudimentary evaluations of the average impact on limited health outcomes for

the population of the United States. Because of the low precision of the

estimates, these doses should not be used to estimate health effects for

specific individuals or for subpopulations. The goal of these calculations

was to determine feasibility only, and, therefore, the magnitude of the

uncertainty of these doses has not always been evaluated. Although the

computed county-specific deposition densities and doses (presented in a

series of maps in the Technical Report) are uncertain, dose maps, such as

shown in the Figure, are useful to illustrate general spatial patterns of

fallout exposure for average individuals acrtoss the United States."



>From this document we hear calls for extending the definition of

"downwinder" (for compensation pruposes) to include the "hot spots"

thousands of miles away from the test sites?



Dennis Shanahan

Dover, NH



----- Original Message -----

From: "Vincent A King/KINGVA/CC01/INEEL/US" <KINGVA@INEL.GOV>

To: <radsafe@list.vanderbilt.edu>

Sent: Friday, March 01, 2002 10:52 AM

Subject: Re: ARTICLE: Fallout likely caused 15,000 deaths





>

> And for perspecitve, how many total cancer deaths have occurred during

this

> period?

>

> By the way, half of 22,000 (the number stated in the article as fatal

> cancers) is 11,000 according to my slide rule.  How does this turn into

the

> 15,000 figure reported in the story headline?  (Another example of truth

> and accuracy in reporting?)

>

> Vincent King,

> Idaho Falls

>

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