RE: ARTICLE: Fallout likely caused 15,000 deaths

["Jim Muckerheide" <jmuckerheide@cnts.wpi.edu>]

John,

 

Don't have time to go back to the numbers I sent to you before, but it's like ~1 case out of  ~100,000  children exposed to Chernobyl!?  

 

(maybe ~50-60,000 in one high-dose region; ~120,000 in another moderately exposed region)

 

And you'd call it...? :-) 

A DISASTER!?   

 

(How about "Not as many as die from fossil fuel releases from a power plant in normal operation!?" :-)

 

Regards, Jim



	-----Original Message----- 

	From: Jacobus, John (OD/ORS) [mailto:jacobusj@ors.od.nih.gov] 

	Sent: Thu 07-Mar-02 8:15 AM 

	To: radsafe@list.vanderbilt.edu 

	Cc: 

	Subject: RE: ARTICLE: Fallout likely caused 15,000 deaths

	

	



	Jim,

	I think that implying that the 1,800 plus cases of thyroid cancer is a

	"small increase" is misleading, and I would even risk using the word false.

	If we expect the public to listen, we must be truthful, and separate fact

	from personal or political statement.

	

	-- John

	John Jacobus, MS

	Certified Health Physicist

	3050 Traymore Lane

	Bowie, MD  20715-2024

	

	E-mail:  jenday1@email.msn.com (H)     

	

	-----Original Message-----

	From: Jim Muckerheide [mailto:jmuckerheide@cnts.wpi.edu]

	Sent: Wednesday, March 06, 2002 3:20 PM

	To: RuthWeiner@AOL.COM; Douglas.Minnema@nnsa.doe.gov;

	dkosloff1@EMAIL.MSN.COM; frantaj@AECL.CA; radsafe@list.vanderbilt.edu

	Subject: RE: ARTICLE: Fallout likely caused 15,000 deaths

	

	

	 . . .

	The United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation

	(UNSCEAR) has had to report that there are no deaths in the public even from

	the Chernobyl accident, though the surrounding population was not evacuated.

	Now, 16 years later, there is only a very small increase in the number of

	thyroid cancers primarily in persons who were children less than about 7

	years old at the time of the accident, with no related mortality reported.

	This was confirmed in a June 2001 meeting that included the World Health

	Organization (WHO) and the affected countries. Recently, the UNSCEAR, WHO

	conclusions were confirmed in a report including the UN Childrens Fund and

	UN Development Program.

	. . .

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