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RE: Feedback - Radioactive-waste bunkers `unsafe'



As another problem, the public, and legislators, do not understand (1) this

is an ESTIMATE of the risk, (2) of 1000 people quoted, 250 will get cancer

anyway, and (3) that all of these numbers are presented as an exact value

rather than a bounded value based on the ESTIMATIONS.    



Of course, it the public understood numbers and risk, no one would play the

lottery.

-- John 



John Jacobus, MS

Certified Health Physicist

3050 Traymore Lane

Bowie, MD  20715-2024



E-mail:  jenday1@email.msn.com (H)      

-----Original Message-----

From: BLHamrick@AOL.COM [mailto:BLHamrick@AOL.COM]

Sent: Friday, November 08, 2002 8:52 AM

To: lists@richardhess.com; joseroze@netvision.net.il;

radsafe@list.vanderbilt.edu

Subject: Re: Feedback - Radioactive-waste bunkers `unsafe'



In a message dated 11/07/2002 11:09:12 AM Pacific Standard Time,

lists@richardhess.com writes: 



I'll pick on just one. What is the level of radioactivity and the exposure

levels (immediate and long term) in the case of the San Diego dumps?



As another poster pointed out, the article refers to 2.5 chest x-rays.  This

is the number Mr. Hirsch (the anti-nuclear activist quoted in the article)

often uses to describe the NRC's License Termination Rule criteria of 25

millirem per year to the average member of the maximally exposed group,

which WAS California's criteria before Mr. Hirsch sued the Department of

Health, and the Department of Health didn't competently defend themselves. 



So, Mr. Hirsch's basic premise is that once a land area was released for

unrestricted use, then the soils, etc. could be removed to a landfill

without regard to the residual radioactivity, which is true, because it's an

UNRESTRICTED release, thus resulting in 2.5 "chest x-rays" to all the

neighbors.  Of course that's ridiculous, and futhermore not significant, but

Mr. Hirsch doesn't really like to bother with the science of it all.

Anyway, the modelling is generally so conservative, and the MARSSIM survey

methods will generally result in a lower overall "actual" concentration than

the DCGLs based on the target dose, that it's silly to imagine that anyone

actually could receive 25 millirem in a year from these releases.  Not to

mention those doses were probably modelled for someone living on the site,

not a half-mile away. 



I've written a response to Channel 10, but the grapevine has it that the

reporter wasn't interested in any facts.  That's just a rumor, and I don't

know if it's true, but I suppose the article speaks for itself in this

regard. 



Barbara 

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