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Re: How do we educate people on the realities of risk?



 
 
Let's consider a more complete figure: A simple model for cost-benefit analysis to optimize radiation protection should consider:
 
NET BENEFIT = GROSS BENEFIT - PRODUCTION COST - RADIATION PROTECTION COST - HEALTH DETRIMENT
 
INDEPENDENT OF THE LEVEL OF RADIATION PROTECTION
 
Jose Julio Rozental
joseroze@netvision.net.il
Israel
 

       
----- Original Message -----
Sent: Friday, December 27, 2002 12:49 AM
Subject: Re: How do we educate people on the realities of risk?

How? BENEFIT must always be subtracted from risk - as with any other medicine!
 
Happy New Year! Howard Long
----- Original Message -----
Sent: Tuesday, December 24, 2002 12:16 AM
Subject: How do we educate people on the realities of risk?

 

Anxiety and fear were crucial factors in influencing public attitudes towards nuclear power.  - This isn't new, one can argue. Yes this isn't new! This was the conclusion pointed out more than 45 years ago, in 1957, by a study group of the WHO - Mental Health Aspects of the Peaceful uses of Atom Energy - WHO Technical Report Series 151, Geneva 1958.

The charge that public fears of nuclear power are largely irrational has been made by citing the safety record of the nuclear industry. However these fears have been justified and strongly reinforced by the accident in Chernobyl, in which 31 workers died and which long-term evacuation of some 135.000 local people was necessary. Although the actual loss of life at Chernobyl was relatively small - comparable to any other severe industrial accident, the enforced evacuation of a large number of people from their homes and land for a period of years is very complicated to accept. On the last  it is also necessary to add the uncertainty of the future generation due the exposure.

We can't only argue about the Russian system and Radiation Safety Conception, take the  Tokaimura Accident: How can public accept so insensate error? Japan birthplace of culture and family respect!

 Public today, as in the past is not different, superstition, spiritualism and a belief in magic are still commonplace and regarding nuclear energy the above is due in part to the expectation of apocalyptic disaster that was deeply implanted in public culture.

To educate people first of all is necessary to reduce the large gap of perception of risk, both political and public and professional and public. France has enough experience in dealing with both situation, the country's nuclear power programme is supported both left and right wing governments and the general public.

Jose Julio Rozental
Israel
----- Original Message -----
Sent: Tuesday, December 24, 2002 6:31 AM
Subject: Re: Not using LNT to calculate risk does not mean there is no risk.

In a message dated 12/23/2002 8:10:45 PM Pacific Standard Time, jrcamero@facstaff.wisc.edu writes:

My draft letter
points out that neither the HPS nor the ICRP have stated that there
is no risk from low doses. 


I agree, but we must keep in mind there is risk from every conceivable human activity.  What scientist in their right mind would ever say there is "no risk" from something?  I don't think that's legitimate under any circumstances.  There is a "risk" that a reindeer will trample me to death on Christmas Eve.  It may be vanishingly small, but there IS a risk.

I recently had an elected official say to me, "If you would just "prove" to the community this is absolutely safe, then there wouldn't be a problem," or something to that effect.  How does one respond?  You CAN'T "prove" that anything is absolutely safe.  You can drown in milk, accidentally slit your wrist with a nail file, suffocate on the smoke from the chestnuts roasting by your open fire by forgetting to open the chimney flue.  NOTHING is "absolutely safe."  It is silly to think in those terms.  Yet, where "exotic" harms are involved, such as the public perceives radioactive materials to be, they expect some impermeable warranty on the safety.

How do we educate people on the realities of risk?  That's the real question in my opinion.

Barbara