AARST Radon Scientist Claim Nation's Policy a Failure

[epirad@mchsi.com]

Stewart,



BEIR VI's best estimate of the number of lung cancer deaths attributed to radon 

in the U.S. each year was 15,400 for the exposure-age-duration model and 21,800 

for the exposure-age-concentration model. Many people take the average and use 

18,600.  The BEIR VI committee's uncertainty analyses using the constant 

relative risk model suggested that the number of cases could range from about 

3,000 to 33,000.  However, the actual 95% upper confidence limit for the 

exposure-age-concentration model was approximately 38,600, but the committee 

suggested that such an upper limit was unlikely.   





Hi Richard:

> 

> To respond to your comment.

> 

> The issue of the estimate of 20,000 deaths per year from indoor radon being 

> upper 

> bound estimates is only one [small] point about my posting vs. the AARST and EPA 

> claims of harm. The actual risk may be zero but it is probably something above 

> zero but far less than approximately 20,000 lung cancer deaths per year.

> 

> Stewart Farber, MS Public Health

> ===============

> 

> 

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