Re: Chernobyl Death Toll?

["Bruce A. Busby" <bbusby@umich.edu>]

Hi All,

In response to this, I happen to have been at a talk today by Harold 
Peterson, DOE, formerly NRC, ect. He was talking about the Chernobyl 
plants.  He said that the EXPECTED mortality was 8600 over thier life 
time of all of Europe, based on risk factor of 4e-4, and including doses 
down as low as 10 mrem. He also said that the Ukrane is talking about 
shutting down the rest of its Nuclear Power plants, which he seemed to 
think out side of the Chernobyl plants was a few (2) more. They are also 
looking at repairing the concrete sarrcophogus, which is breaking down. 

What, the media wrong?.... Naaaaaaaa

To date the life lost from Cherynobyl is set at 32 (or so), 29 
firefighters, three operators.

This is what I remembered from the lecture today, and might be a little 
off on the numbers, and should be checked before you quote them off to 
anyone...




> Dear Radsafers,
> 
> Today the NY Times had a blurb about Ukraine planning to shutdown all the 
> Chernobyl plants by the year 2000. In the article the Times states that the 
> 1986 accident has claimed nearly 8,000 lives so far. What I wonder is: where 
> are they getting this number? It sounds suspiciously like a Union of 
> "Concerned Scientists". Any thoughts?