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Re: Linear Hypothesis



It seems to me that current efforts by some to debunk the use of the linear
assumption, with a view to change public policy, are highly unlikely to succeed.

A better approach is suggested in the October 1995 HP Society Newsletter
editorial by Steven Garry, CHP, entitled "The Cost-Effectiveness of
Environmental Regulations Questioned".  The point is made that, for example,
the average Consumper Product Safety Commission rule costs $68,00 per
life-year saved, while radionuclide emission control at nuclear power plants
costs about _$100 million_ per life-year saved.  The last figure, I assume,
is calculated by using the linear assumption (i.e., theoretical lives lost).

I would suggest that those interested in this topic read Steven's editorial.

D. Lee Beidelman (beidelma@tis.inel.gov)

Standard Disclaimer: these are my personal opinions only.