Potassium Iodide

["Pilt, Aadu" <Aadu.Pilt@jus.gov.on.ca>]

This is in response to J.J. Rozental and Scott Sorensen's recent
contributions.

I think the fallacy (if any) in the assumptions and calculations is in
the adverse risk estimates. I for one find it incredible, on the basis
of discussions with Charlie Wills and others, that "the risk of death
following iodine prophylaxis is 3(E-9)" or 3 in a billion.  The other
adverse risk numbers quoted by Mr Rozental are, with all due respect, to
me equally improbable.

Is there a consensus on these issues? This is of interest to Province of
Ontario officials, since future planning depends on an acquaintance with
not only the benefits but also the risks of KI prophylaxis.

Dr A A Pilt
Emergency Measures Ontario

aadu.pilt@jus.gov.on.ca
Aadu Pilt
pilta@gov.on.ca