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LNT and Epidemiology
I'm not an expert in epidemiology (can barely spell it) nor
molecular radiation biology, but the discussions of whether
recent epidemiological studies of populations exposed to higher
background radiation levels does not appear to take into account
the possibility that molecular damage from radiation may be
different from metabolic radiation damage and below the
significance level of epidemiological studies. I heard an
excellent presentation by Dr. John Ward of UC San Diego at the
recent BEIR VII meeting in which he described the types of DNA
damage from both radiation induced free radicals and from
metabolically induced free radicals. Ward contends that at least
some significant percentage of the radiation induced damage is
physically different from the spontaneous damage (and he has the
molecular biology studies to support this). These multiply
damaged sites are not repaired as easily or effectively as simple
damage locations for which routine cellular repair mechanisms
operate.
This information tends to say that radiation induced cancers may
not be statistically detectable in populations exposed to higher
backgrounds or to worker populations who are occupationally
exposed, but that there still is some risk. The question for
radiation safety professionals is to optimize the delivery of
that risk and ensure that the worker (and the public) is
protected from excessive risk. For myself, I believe that risks
even under LNT assumptions at 1E-4 or less are trivial when
compared to other factors in our society.
On another related note, the comment is occasionally made that we
are spending far too many millions of tax dollars cleaning up
sites that present no significant risk to the public. While it
is true that we are spending a fortune that could be used
elsewhere, we should keep in mind that there are sometimes good
reasons to clean places up. For example, I heard a presentation
a few years ago in which some important oceanographic research
relied on the detection of extraordinarily low levels of trace
radioactive species (tritium and C-14) in ocean water. If we
don't keep our environment as clean as reasonably achieveable
(huh?) then we may render such research impossible.
My opinions only,
Eric Goldin, CHP
<goldinem@songs.sce.com>
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