[ RadSafe ] Selecting one cancer "risk" near certain nuclear plants

[John R Johnson]

Was the "statistician who drowned" taller than 5"? -:)

John

----- Original Message ----- 
From: "howard long" <hflong at pacbell.net>
To: "Bjorn Cedervall" <bcradsafers at hotmail.com>; <radsafe at radlab.nl>
Sent: Monday, December 10, 2007 9:08 AM
Subject: [ RadSafe ] Selecting one cancer "risk" near certain nuclear plants


> SELECTION = SIN (foundation of epidemiology)
> Chance alone will give 5 of every 100 studies "statistical significance" 
> (p .05 by chance alone),
> close to the 37 cases where just 17 were expected, on the average.
> Would they have reported negative studies? How many were considered?
>
> Experiment is needed. Natural experiment of Taiwan apt 0.4Sv addition from 
> CO 60 in the steel
> (hundreds of times any addition to the German dose, certainly less than 
> its radon spa dose)
> to 10,000 residents for 9-20 years, resulted in only 3.5 cancers/100,000 
> person -years
> vs 116 expected, more likely prevention of cancer by chronic radiation.
>
> Did you hear the story about the statistician who drowned, while wading 
> across a creek
> that averaged just 6" deep?
>
> Howard Long
>
>
>
> ----- Original Message ----
> From: Bjorn Cedervall <bcradsafers at hotmail.com>
> To: radsafe at radlab.nl
> Sent: Monday, December 10, 2007 3:03:17 AM
> Subject: [ RadSafe ] Child cancer risk higher near nuclear plants: study
>
>
> Radsafers,
>
> Any comments to the following?:
> http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20071208/hl_nm/cancer_germany_dc
>
> My personal action only,
>
> Bjorn Cedervall  bcradsafers at hotmail.com
>
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