[ RadSafe ] Mangano's New Study

[Jerry Cohen]

Otto,
Of course your assessment is correct. An interesting "mind game" that I have 
tried on non-scientist friends is to suppose you throw two darts randomly at 
the state map and determine the cancer rates at the communities closest to 
where the darts land. Almost always, one community will have a higher cancer 
rate than the other. When I ask why this might be the case, the typical 
answers I receive include possible presence of certain industries, 
suspicious food or water supplies, air pollution, etc. Hardly anyone cites 
normal statistical variation to be the cause. You can sell most anything to 
a technologically ignorant public----and often become a hero in the process 
as have Sternglass, Mangano, and similar charlatans.
Jerry Cohen


----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Steven Dapra" <sjd at swcp.com>
To: "Otto Raabe" <ograabe at ucdavis.edu>; <radsafe at radlab.nl>
Sent: Sunday, July 01, 2007 7:23 PM
Subject: RE: [ RadSafe ] Mangano's New Study


> July 1
>
>         Thank you, Otto, for noting this common practice of anti-nukers. 
> It's pick-and-choose "science;" "research;" what-have-you.
>
> Steven Dapra
> sjd at swcp.com
>
>
>
> At 06:51 PM 7/1/07 -0700, Otto  Raabe wrote:
>>At 07:04 PM 6/25/2007, Steven Dapra wrote:
>>>         Our Tooth Fairy Project (TFP) friend Joseph Mangano is the 
>>> author of the study alleging higher cancer rates in the counties around 
>>> the Vogtle reactor.
>>*******************************
>>Remember, the standard procedure is to find a reactor for which some 
>>cancer rates have gone up and claim that the reactor was responsible. Now 
>>we can assume that for the 103 power reactors in the U.S. that at least a 
>>few are in areas where cancer rates have gone up, maybe even 
>>significantly, for unknown reasons that have no relation to any reactor. 
>>But, then you selectively publish about this one or more reactors and 
>>ignore all those for which local cancer rates went down! Them you imply 
>>that all resactor causes cancer!
>>
>>This doesn't take much effort or time. All you need is some eager young 
>>volunteers who believe that reactors are evil, and have them search the 
>>available cancer records around all 103 reactors until you find one or 
>>more that show cancer rate increases, then you use the usual manuscript 
>>template with these data, and you have a new publication that you can send 
>>to a reporter looking for a story.
>>
>>Otto
>>
>>Prof. Otto G. Raabe, Ph.D., CHP
>>Center for Health & the Environment
>>University of California
>>One Shields Avenue
>>Davis, CA 95616
>>E-Mail: ograabe at ucdavis.edu
>>Phone: (530) 752-7754   FAX: (530) 758-6140
>
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