[ RadSafe ] Chernobyl Radiation Killed Nearly One Million People: New Book]]
Maury Siskel
maurysis at peoplepc.com
Sat May 22 15:19:05 CDT 2010
This paper by Dr. Jaworowski deserves much wider circulation. The
Abstract and part of the Intrduction follow below. Sorry for the delay
due my med problems.
Best,
Maury&Dog [Maury Siskel maurysis at peoplepc.com]
==========================
Dose-Response, X:xxx-xxx, 2010
Formerly Nonlinearity in Biology, Toxicology, and Medicine
Copyright © 2010 University of Massachusetts
ISSN: 1559-3258
DOI: 10.2203/dose-response.09-029.Jaworowski
OBSERVATIONS ON THE CHERNOBYL DISASTER AND LNT
Zbigniew Jaworowski Central Laboratory for Radiological Protection, Ul.
Konwaliowa 7, 03-194 Warsaw, Poland
OBSERVATIONS ON THE CHERNOBYL DISASTER AND LNT
Zbigniew Jaworowski Central Laboratory for Radiological Protection, Ul.
Konwaliowa 7, 03-194 Warsaw, Poland
The Chernobyl accident was probably the worst possible catastrophe of
a nuclear power station. It was the only such catastrophe since the
advent of nuclear power 55 years
ago. It resulted in a total meltdown of the reactor core, a vast
emission of radionuclides, and early deaths of only 31 persons. Its
enormous political, economic, social and psychological impact was mainly
due to deeply rooted fear of radiation induced by the linear
nonthreshold hypothesis (LNT) assumption. It was a historic event that
provided invaluable lessons for nuclear industry and risk philosophy.
One of them is demonstration that counted per electricity units
produced, early Chernobyl fatalities amounted to 0.86 death/GWeyear),
and they were 47 times lower than from hydroelectric stations (~40
deaths/GWeyear). The accident demonstrated that using the LNT assumption
as a basis for protection measures and radiation dose limitations was
counterproductive, and lead to sufferings and pauperization of millions
of inhabitants of contaminated areas. The projections of thousands of
late cancer deaths based on LNT, are in conflict with observations that
in comparison
with general population of Russia, a 15% to 30% deficit of solid cancer
mortality was found among the Russian emergency workers, and a 5%
deficit solid cancer incidence
among the population of most contaminated areas.
Keywords: Chernobyl, irradiation, LNT, health effects, remedial
measures, social consequences
INTRODUCTION
Ten days after two steam and hydrogen explosions blew up the Chernobyl
nuclear reactor the fire that melted its core died out spontaneously.
But the drama of this catastrophe still flourishes, nourished by
politics, authorities, media and interest groups of ecologists,
charitable organizations and scientists. It lives in the collective
memory of the world
and propagates real health, social and economic harm to millions of
people in Belarus, Russia and the Ukraine. It is exploited in attempts
to strangle development of atomic energy, the cleanest, safest and
practically inexhaustible means to meet the worlds energy needs. The
world's uranium resources alone will suffice for the next 470,000 years
(IAEA 2008). Chernobyl was a indeed a historic event, but it is the only
nuclear power station disaster that ever resulted in an occupational
death toll, albeit a
comparatively small one. A vast environmental dispersion of
radioactivity occurred that did not cause any scientifically confirmed
fatalities in the ....
Address correspondence to Zbigniew Jaworowski, Central Laboratory for
Radiological
Protection, Ul. Konwaliowa 7, 03-194 Warsaw, Poland. Voice:
+48-22-754-4434; fax +48-22-711-
7147, jaworo at clor.waw.pl
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