[ RadSafe ] Dr Busby - 30%; the paper
C.Busby at ulster.ac.uk
Tue Jun 28 13:03:47 CDT 2011
Here is the paper
From: radsafe-bounces at agni.phys.iit.edu on behalf of Ken Savitz
Sent: Tue 28/06/2011 02:31
To: radsafe at agni.phys.iit.edu
Subject: [ RadSafe ] Dr Busby - 30%
I'd like to weigh in on the discussion with Sandy and Dr Busby -
population of Japan - 128,000,000 (2009 - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Japan )
population of Fukushima - 2,030,000 (2010 - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fukushima_Prefecture )
death rate (all causes) - ~10 per 1000 (2006 - http://apps.who.int/whosis/database/mort/table1_process.cfm )
infant mortality (all) - ~2.8 per 1000 (2010 - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Japan#Infant_mortality_rate )
(if someone can find data for the same year, that might be better)
Would you please put a number on your prediction of "greater than 30%". Does that mean, of the 2 million
in the Fukushima prefecture, in a 'normal' year, we would expect ~20300 deaths; you expect to see 26000 or 13%?
or, are you speaking only of an increase in infant mortality? from all causes?
As of April, the tsunami had accounted for 1113 deaths and 4626 missing in Fukushima
Please be specific so that the readers do not distort the .
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