[ RadSafe ] Member of European Committee on Radiation Risk: 400, 000 Fuku cancers based on health studies after Chernobyl | TheNuclear Engineering Department At UC Berkeley

[Jeff Terry]

The conclusion line at that link was interesting:

Unless attributable to chance or remaining uncontrolled confounding, a slight exposure related increase in total cancer incidence has occurred in northern Sweden after the Chernobyl accident.

On May 15, 2011, at 10:04 PM, Steven Dapra wrote:

> May 15
> 
>        This is the link to what is probably the Tondel paper Busby invokes below.
> 
> http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15547062
> 
>        The citation is J Epidemiol Community Health. 2004 Dec;58(12):1011-6.
> 
>        "A cohort study was focused on the fallout of caesium-137 in relation to cancer incidence 1988-1996."
> 
>        "The excess relative risk [for Cs-137 deposition] was 0.11 per 100 kiloBecquerel/m(2) . . ."
> 
>        Busby says there was an "11% increase in cancre [sic]".  I assume he got that from the excess relative risk of 0.11.  I am neither a statistician nor an epidemiologist.  Does an excess relative risk of 0.11 constitute an 11 percent increase in cancer?
> 
> Steven Dapra
> 
> 
> At 06:26 AM 5/14/2011, you wrote:
>> Dear Radsafers
> 
> [edit]
> 
>> The calculation that was done for Fukushima was based on scientifically valid comparisons with weapons fallout cancer yields and Chernobyl cancer yields in Sweden published by Tondel et al in 2004 which show 11% increase in cancre per 100kBq/m2 comntamination,.
> 
> [edit]
> 
>> Sincerely
>> Chris
> 
> [edit]
> 
> 
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