[ RadSafe ] Fwd: Radiation may (not) increase risk in BRCA positive women
Chris Alston
achris1999 at gmail.com
Mon Sep 10 11:14:24 CDT 2012
Bradly
Thank you!! It also seems like a good basic principle not to make
life-altering decisions based on only a single study, unless maybe it
is superlatively powered. These kinds of reports get so much play,
nowadays, that I worry that the young women (overwhelmingly daughters
of the Ashkenazim, in the USA anyway), who are already pretty scared
about breast Ca, will now start to worry about the means of
(life-saving) early detection. Are MRI and US acceptable subsitutes?
Cheers
cja
---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Brad Keck <bradkeck at mac.com>
Date: Mon, Sep 10, 2012 at 10:25 AM
Subject: Re: [ RadSafe ] Radiation may (not) increase risk in BRCA
positive women
To: "The International Radiation Protection (Health Physics)
Mailing List" <radsafe at health.phys.iit.edu>
The article, which may be found at the website of the British Medical
Journal, is an interesting read. The principal questions I have
involve – and perhaps one of the authors will care to comment – the
method used to avoid selection bias and statistical significance. It
seems entirely likely that the women in the study - all BRCA positive
- who eventually developed a cancer would have been likely to have
received more medical attention, hence more diagnostic x-rays, etc.,
so there is an inherent bias in the study group in that the
eventuality of cancer may be related to the increased medical
atention, rather than any causality. The authors allude to correcting
for this, but do not explain their rationale – this is a key point on
principle.
Secondly, this is a statistically noisy study. 50 of 57 odds ratios
shown encompass unity, and even those that do not are pretty close.
The importance of statistical significance here should not be
understated, as the headlines in the popular press most certainly do.
While it would be an important finding if such a subgroup as this
really has a unique susceptibility to radiation, this paper does not
make the case to conclude this, in my view; and is in contrast to
similar studies as the authors correctly note. Bradly D. Keck, Ph.D.,
CHP
On Sep 10, 2012, at 07:47 AM, Colette Tremblay
<Colette.Tremblay at ssp.ulaval.ca> wrote:
According to the article, mammograms would increase breast cancer only
in a subgroup of young women: those who carry a BRCA1 or BRCA2
mutation. Since these mutations make a woman more susceptible to
develop breast cancer, it seems quite logical that these same cells
would be less resistant to radiation. Maybe their DNA repair
mechanisms are less efficient.
Colette Tremblay, Radiation Safety Officer
Service de sécurité et de prévention
2325, rue de la Vie-Étudiante, local 1533
Pavillon Ernest-Lemieux - Université Laval
Québec (Québec) G1V 0B1
418 656-2131, poste 2893
-----Message d'origine-----
De : radsafe-bounces at health.phys.iit.edu
[mailto:radsafe-bounces at health.phys.iit.edu] De la part de Howard Long
Envoyé : 7 septembre 2012 23:36
À : The International Radiation Protection (Health Physics) MailingList
Cc : radsafe at agni.phys.iit.edu
Objet : Re: [ RadSafe ] Radiation may increase OR DECREASE
breast-cancer risk in young women
How Much Radiation?!!
Hormesis, stimulation of body defenses, clearly LESSENS the risk of
cance in low dose, as shown in experiments of Feinendigan, Pollycove,
Scott and others!
Even in the bomb studies, Breast cancer was LESS THAN EXPECTED at under 10 Rads.
Howard Long, (family doctor, epidemiologist)
On Sep 6, 2012, at 10:14 PM, ROY HERREN <royherren2005 at yahoo.com> wrote:
> http://seattletimes.com/html/health/2019087004_breastcancer07.html
> Radiation may increase breast-cancer risk in young women Roy Herren _______________________________________________
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