[ RadSafe ] RadSafe Digest, Vol 1736, Issue 2

[Harrison - CDPHE, Tony]

Sorry Joe, but a number of actual climate experts disagree with you:

"In July, Mr. Stockman spent a couple of hours at NASA’s Goddard Space
Flight Center listening to presentations about earth science and climate
change. The subject of ice ages came up. Mr. Stockman asked, “How can your
models predict the climate when no one can tell me what causes the ice
ages?”

I responded that, actually, the science community understood very well what
takes the earth into and out of ice ages. A Serbian mathematician, Milutin
Milankovitch, worked out the theory during the early years of the 20th
century. He calculated by hand that variations in the earth’s tilt and the
shape of its orbit around the sun start and end ice ages. I said that you
could think of ice ages as resulting from wobbles in the earth’s tilt and
orbit.

The time scales involved are on the order of tens of thousands to hundreds
of thousands of years. I explained that this science has been well tested
against the fossil record and is broadly accepted. I added that we don’t
normally include these factors in 100-year climate projections because the
effects are too tiny to be important on such a short time-scale."


http://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/12/opinion/wobbling-on-climate-change.html

And:
"Things, however, are beginning to change — and change faster than anyone
anticipated, according to a new study published
<http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL061940/abstract?campaign=wolacceptedarticle>
in
the Geophysical Research Letters. Despite its formidable lineage, the
Amundsen Sea is widely recognized as the weakest link in the West
Antarctic’s splintering chain of ice sheets. But only now is it becoming
clear just how fast change is coming.

There, the melting rate tripled in the past decade. Since 1992, the
researchers found, the loss rate accelerated by 6.1 gigatons per year.
Between 2003 and 2009, that rate nearly tripled to 16.3 gigatons per year.
That surge in the melt rate, according
<http://news.uci.edu/press-releases/west-antarctic-melt-rate-has-tripled-uc-irvine-nasa/>
to
scientists at the University of California at Irvine, means the region, in
the past 21 years, shed a Mount Everest-sized amount of ice every two years.

“The mass loss of these glaciers is increasing at an amazing rate,”
Isabella Velicogna, the paper’s author, said in a statement
<http://news.uci.edu/press-releases/west-antarctic-melt-rate-has-tripled-uc-irvine-nasa/>.
With sea level steadily rising in locations like Miami, connecting the dots
back to glacial melt has become a vital endeavor, she added. “It’s critical
that we maintain this [observing] network to continue monitoring the
changes,” she said. “Because the changes are proceeding very fast.”

http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/morning-mix/wp/2014/12/03/this-west-antarctic-region-sheds-a-mount-everest-sized-amount-of-ice-every-two-years-study-says/

​Oh well, ​back to radiation safety work.


*Tony Harrison, MSPH*

*Chemistry Supervisor*


P 303-692-3046  |  F 303-691-4069

8100 Lowry Blvd.  Denver, CO 80230

tony.harrison at state.co.us  | colorado.gov/cdphe

Message: 5
> Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2014 12:18:15 -0500
> From: JPreisig at aol.com
> Subject: Re: [ RadSafe ] 10 warmest years on record
> To: radsafe at health.phys.iit.edu
> Message-ID: <6eb0e.6744d74b.41b342d7 at aol.com>
> Content-Type: text/plain; charset="UTF-8"
>
> Radsafe,
>
>     Our ability to measure global temperatures is quite good  right now.
> Wonder if the temperature increases can be plotted versus the  global human
> population.  Is there a close correlation???  Plot both  parameters versus
> time.  No wonder it is getting warmer, plus possible oil,  coal, natural
> gas
> burning.
>
>     Still, in 1976 it was global cooling.  1998 is a  significant global
> warming date.  By 2020 it will be global cooling  again.  This is somewhat
> due
> to the sum and difference frequencies of the  Earth wobbles (Annual Wobble,
> Chandler Wobble 1, Chandler Wobble 2).  I've  explained all this in the
> Radsafe archives.  The relevant wobble period is  something like 44 years
> (1976
> to 2020).
>
>     Right now California and other parts of the USA are  entering a drought
> period similar to the decade-long Dust Bowl drought (around  1932-1934).
> Can't compute the severity of the event right now.  Team  USA could.  The
> drought should last about 12 years.  Conserve water,  farm conservatively,
> grow
> fewer cattle??? and try to get through it.
>
>     For the next 4 weeks it is earthquake season (Winter  Solstice) again.
> Possibly 1 or 2 large magnitude earthquakes.   There's a major
> typhoon/cyclone in the Phillipines right now.  This might  trigger some
> earthquake
> there???
>
>     Joe Preisig
>
>
>
>
>
>
> In a message dated 12/5/2014 9:24:42 A.M. Eastern Standard Time,
> Peter.Sandgren at ct.gov writes:
>
> No  agenda here - just relaying what has been  reported:
> http://www.climatecentral.org/gallery/graphics/10-warmest-years-globally
> It?s official: 2013 is tied with 2003 as the fourth warmest year for
> Planet Earth since modern record-keeping began more than 130 years ago.
> The  mean
> global temperature rose 1.12?F above the 20th century average. That means
> the 10 warmest years on record have all happened since 1998, with 2010
> still
>  on top as the warmest of all. The only year in the entire 20th century
> that  was warmer than 2013, and the only one remaining in the top 10, was
> 1998.
> This  also marks the 37th straight year where the global temperature was
> above the  long term average.
>
> (Google News) US, British data show 2014 could be  hottest year on  record
>
> http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/11/27/us-climatechange-heat-idUKKCN0JB1EM
> 20141127
>
> P.  SANDGREN
> CT DESPP - DEMHS
> RAD EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS
> 25 SIGOURNEY  ST., HARTFORD,  CT
>
>
> ________________________________________
>
> On 11/24/2014  12:49 PM, JPreisig at aol.com wrote:
> > Radsafe,
> >
> >   See google news --- antarctic sea  ice   .
> >
> >         Not only is  there more Antarctic Ice,  but it is also now
> thicker,
> > as  determined by underwater robotic vessels.
> >
> >       So much for global warming????
> >
> >     Joe  Preisig
>