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Re: Anti-radiation article -Thoughts please!
Four things come to mind when considering the theoretical risk 
due to radiation from nuclear power plants:
 
1.  Colorado:  Due to high altitude and natural 
deposits of uranium, people who live in Colorado generally receive about 2.25 
mSv per year (pages 87 and 88 Radioactivity in the Environment, Ronald 
L. Kathren, Harwood Academic Publishers, 1984).  This compares to a range 
of from 0.75 to 1.10 mSv per year for most of the rest of the US 
population.  Yet the cancer rate for the area around the Rocky Flats 
nuclear weapons facility is lower (90% of the US norm) than for the rest of the 
US ( Table 1-A.9, Cancer in Populations LIving Near Nuclear Facilities, 
Seymour Jablon, Zdenek Hrubec, John D. Boice, Jr., and B. J. Stone, US 
National Institutes of Health, July, 1990).  This Rocky Flats area 
includes exposure to plutonium, as well as the natural 
sources.  Note:  The NIH study was done at the request of anti-nuke U. 
S. Senator Teddy Kennedy in an effort to demonstrate that there was a hazard 
similar to that described in the article.  No such hazard was identified by 
the study.  However anti-nukes have dishonestly used isolated findings from 
the study to falsely claim that some counties had higher cancer rates due to 
nuclear facilites.  They did this by highlighting counties with cancer 
rates slightly higher than the norm, which would be expected due to normal 
statistical variations, and ignoring counties with cancer rates lower than the 
norm.
 
2.  Kerala, India:  "There are, however, several 
locations in the world where very high thorium and thorium daughter 
concentrations have been noted, giving rise to very high external natural 
radiation fields." (pages 65 and 66, Kathren) "These include the monazite sand 
areas of the Brazilian coast and the State of Kerala in India, and an area in 
the Soviet Union.  Monazite is an insoluble rare earth mineral composed 
largely of the phosphates of cerium, lanthanum, and thorium.  
Monazite sands contain varying amounts of thorium, usually on the order of 
10 per cent.  The external dose rates associated with these sands are 
manyfold higher than normal; measurements in the monazite sand regions reveal 
levels up to several mrad/h (several tens of microGy/h), in sharp contrast to 
the approximately ten microrad per hour usually associated with natural 
terrestrial background.  People living in these regions thus typically 
receive a background dose of several rads (several tens of milligrays) per 
year.  Despite this high dose, which in many cases exceeds the maximum 
permissable levels for occupational exposure, no untoward effects have been 
documented in residents of the monazite sand areas."  Information on 
studies of the Kerala population may be found in the 
RADSAFE Archives.  Dr. Gofman has been aware of this exposure for 
about 30 years and at one time claimed that there had been no health effects 
observed because no one had looked for any.  His current 
position should be available on his website.  Kerala has recently 
become the darling of some "progressive" thinkers because the population 
is considered healtier and wealthier than the norm for India 
(eg, see Earth in the Balance, by Al Gore).  They do not 
appear to be aware of the radiation levels.  Remember that a woman is born 
with her eggs, so people who live in Kerala have been exposed for years 
before their birth.
 
3.  Radon:  Dr. Cohen has been unable, despite a 
great deal of effore, to demonstrate the existance of the LNT theory through 
research on the effects of radon concentrations in homes.  See RADSAFE 
Archives.
 
4.  Worker Exposure to Plutonium.  A continuing 
detailed study of 26 workers exposed to plutonium (Fifty Years of 
Plutonium Exposure to the Manhatten Project Plutonium Workers: an 
Update,  Geroge L. Voelz, James N. P. Lawrence, and Emily R. Johnson, 
Health Physics, 73(4):611-619; 1997) found that: "Their effective doses 
range from 0.1 to 7.2 Sv with a median value of 1.25 Sv.  As of the end of 
1994, 7 individuals have died compared with an expected 16 deaths based on 
mortality rates of U.S. white males in the general population.  The 
standardized mortality ratio (SMR) is 0.43.  When compared with 876 
unexposed Los Alamos worker's of the same period, the plutonium worker's 
mortality rate was also not elevated (SMR = 0.77).  The 19 living persons 
have diseases and physical changes characteristic of a male population with a 
median age of 72 y (range = 69 to 86 y).  Eight of the twenty-six workers 
have been diagnosed as having one or more cancers, which is within the expected 
range.  The underlying cause of death in three of the seven deceased 
persons was from cancer, namely cancer of prostate, lung, and bone.  
Mortality from all cancers was not statistically elevated."
 
The 70-year exposure period would be difficult to achieve 
without substantial individual effort, since no plants are expected to operate 
more than 50 years.  That operational period would include many months of 
outages, so to maintain the 70-year exposure the individual would have to move 
near an operating plant while the "home" plant was shutdown.  In addition, 
there have been few cases where any radiation dose above normal background has 
been detected near a nuclear plant.
  
 ----- Original Message ----- 
Sent: Sunday, January 30, 2000 6:49 AM
Subject: Anti-radiation article -Thoughts 
please!
 
> Comments please!
> 
> Your thoughts 
on the following (anti-radiation) article would be
> appreciated!
> 
> Dr Aaron Oakley
> 
> 
8<--------------------------------------------------------------------------
> 
-------
> 
> What is a SAFE DOSE of radiation?
> The 
International Committee on Radiological Protection (ICRP) recommended
> 
standard of 1
> millisievert (1 mSv) annual maximum exposure for the 
public.
> This translates, using ICRP's dose - response assumptions, to a 
risk
> of 3.5 fatal cancers in 1000 people exposed annually over a 
lifetime of 70
> years. This is a lifetime fatal cancer risk of 1 in 
286.
> 
> The regulation of toxic substances in the U.S. looks 
protective in
> comparison. These also allow a lethal risk to those 
exposed, but the limit
> is
> set at only 1 fatal cancer in 100,000 
or in some cases, 1 in 10,000. Policy
> makers also debate whether it is 
acceptable for industrial activities to
> result in one death in a 
million. The nuclear industry is enjoying
> tremendous privilege, 
literally a licence to kill members of the public
> in the course of 
normal operations.
> 
> The dose limits for workers in the uranium 
mining industry are even more
> dangerous.
> 
> 
> 
Deaths per million workers
> per year, worldwide:
> 
> 
Manufacturing 
workers                  
110
> Construction 
workers                    
164
> Radiation workers @ 3mSv       
5,500
> Radiation workers @ 20mSv  37,500
> (mSv = 
milliSievert, a measurement of
> radiation. Source: ICRP27/ICRP60)
> 
> These estimates all rest on the
> shaky foundation that there is 
a safe
> limit, a dose of radiation so low that
> no harm results. 
Many studies,
> bitterly disputed or ignored by the
> industry, show 
that this is not the
> case. Any dose of radiation can
> increase 
the risk of disease.
> 
> 
> 
> 
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