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Some reasons not to believe the linear no-threshold hypothesis
I sent the following to RISKANAL, a mailing list for risk professionals, in the
context of a general discussion of the LNTH.
It seems relevant to the current discussion on RADSAFE, also.
-----Original Message-----
From: Dukelow, James S Jr
Sent: Thursday, March 16, 2000 3:10 PM
To: 'riskanal@lyris.pnl.gov'
Subject: A partial response to Finkel and Dankovic
Some reasons not to believe the linear no-threshold hypothesis.
First, and most flip, it has a lot of the flavor of homeopathy.
Second, it is so implausible as to strain credulity. Living cells and
living organisms have a variety of essentially independent schemes for
preventing cancer. Human cells have several different DNA-repair
mechanisms. If these fail to repair damaged DNA, there are mechanisms
for identifying the failure and commanding cell suicide. If this fails,
immune system surveillance and response may destroy the proto-tumor. A
small solid tumor cannot grow past a certain point without inducing the
body to build it a network of blood vessels to provide nourishment and
remove wastes. A solid tumor may need to metastasize before it can
finally kill its host. All of these lines of defense work with a
greater or lesser degree of effectiveness, but with sufficient
effectiveness that a majority of humans live long enough to die of
something else.