Re: Risk (asbestos example)

[Kerimbaev <kerrembaev@YAHOO.COM>]

I like Ruth's example.



1.1. To say that ALL asbestos is BAD is

fundamentally WRONG.

1.2. The same thing with anything else i.e.

RADIATION.



2.1 As soon we define smthng like asbestos in

absolute terms as negative or positive, we become

illusionized with it's UNIVERSALITY.

2.2 To my best knowledges, there are not many

UNIVERSAL things in this world, and asbestos I am

sure is not one of them.



3. Facts:

3.1. ASBESTOS SAVED was/is/will be saving LIVES.

3.2. ASBESTOS IS a HAZARDOUS substance.



4.1. The fact that it's applications made so much

harm could not overwrite its "POSITIVE" features.

4.2. Not to see that would be, at least, a very

selective vision. 



5. The SAME comment could be done about the

RADIATION.



6.1. Certainly, from the CORRECT political view,

to admit ANYTHING positive about ASBESTOS is very

politically INCORRECT :-)



6.2. I am sure in  a few years these "political"

views will change as they always do.....change.





As people say in the USA:

"The change is good"







Emil.







You wrote:

>>>

I agree with Ruth Weiner's thoughts about using 

perceived risk as a basis for

risk management, but disagree strongly with her 

example.



- -----Original Message-----

From: RuthWeiner@AOL.COM 

Subject: Re: Risk



>>>

....

Example:  if asbestos had been used above the 

60th floor of the World Trade

Center, the buildings might possibly have stood 

more than an hour, and many

lives might have been saved.  But EPA applied the



linear non-threshold theory to

asbestos  (this was the "perception") and 

prohibited its use (at least that is

my understanding). 



If people perceive a risk much different from the



realistically estimated risk,

let's just tell them they are wrong.  I recognize



that DOE and NRC pander to

perceived risk, but that doesn't mean everyone 

has to. 



Ruth Weiner, Ph. D. 

 







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