RE: The quiz: What is the leukemia's expression period (Re: Childhood leukemia in Belarus)

[Jack_Earley@RL.GOV]

Kerimbaev wrote:



<<d. Rate of leukemia depends ONLY on a speed of

light.>>



Wait a minute--which speed of light? It's been decreasing for the past 300

years that it's been measured. . . .



Jack Earley

Radiological Engineer





-----Original Message-----

From: Kerimbaev [mailto:kerrembaev@YAHOO.COM]

Sent: Tuesday, December 25, 2001 11:29 PM

To: radsafe@list.vanderbilt.edu

Subject: The quiz: What is the leukemia's expression period (Re:

Childhood leukemia in Belarus)







>>>

.....

was not recognisably increased in the years

1987-1994 

compared to the years 

1982-1986, i.e. the period before the accident. 

The present paper gives the 

data of the continued follow-up (1995-1998) which



was conducted by the 

..

>>>





I did NOT read the WHOLE presentation paper, may

be I should, ah?



Any way,



I have read just the abstract and so far I found

the following critical points.



And here is the quiz.



Quiz # 1.



Question:



Does leukemia have an expression/latent period?

of five years.



a. Yes.



b. No.



c. Leukemia has no distinguished expression

period.



d. Rate of leukemia depends ONLY on a speed of

light.





If (B)



Then



1.1 Why would some one include data for more then

five years, after the acute post-accident dose

was received?



1.2 Say, exposure was received in 1986 =>

observation period should be 1986 + 5 =... 

until 1991 (period)



1.3 Dose rates = annual dose had decreased

SUBSTANTIALLY/exponentially =>

(short lived fallout reactor by-products decayed)

 in the following 1987,88,89,... etc.



2.1 Again, haven't the "researchers" at FIRST,

were looking, in the leukemia incident records

and THEN trying to make sense from the numbers /

to fit the LNT line or another curve?



3. Looks, to me, the cart was pulled before the

horse.



4.1 Comparison of 80's, with 90's, in 90's the

standard of living, health care, etc., in the

Ex-Soviet Union region i.e. Belaruss. DECREASED /

WORSTEN dramatically, shouldn't that in a some

way affect on the childhood leukemia occurrences?



Or 





Quiz # 2



Question:



Is the childhood leukemia NOT a food and health

care related disease?



a) Yes.



b) No.



c) Only, genetically related.



d) Radiation from Cs-137 has changed children's

genetic codes?



c) Hard to believe.





Good Luck and Happy, Healthy New Year to

everyone!



Emil.









From: "Michael C. Baker" <mcbaker@LANL.GOV>

Subject: abstract: Childhood leukemia in Belarus



- ----------------------

Radiation and Environmental Biophysics

Volume 40 Issue 4 (2001) pp 259-267



Childhood leukemia in Belarus before and after 

the Chernobyl accident: 

continued follow-up

V. N. Gapanovich, R. F. Iaroshevich, L. P. 

Shuvaeva, S. I. Becker, E. A. 

Nekolla, A. M. Kellerer



Abstract: Earlier assessments led to the 

conclusion that due to the added 

radiation after the Chernobyl accident, childhood



leukemia in Belarus was 

not recognisably increased in the years 1987-1994



compared to the years 

1982-1986, i.e. the period before the accident. 

The present paper gives the 

data of the continued follow-up (1995-1998) which



was conducted by the 

Institute of Haematology and Blood Transfusion, 

Minsk. In line with the 

earlier observations no increase has been 

identified. The incidence rates 

have been compared to the data of the newly 

established Belarussian 

Childhood Cancer Registry and a tentative 

explanation is given for apparent 

differences between the rates from our follow-up 

and the data reported 

earlier by the Belarussian Childhood Cancer 

Registry. 









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