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Re: Radon and Lung Cancer: What the studies really say.
From: "BERNARD L COHEN" <blc+@pitt.edu>
> --It is very widely agreed that a measurement of radon
> concentration in a home give an estimate of its occupants' exposure to
> radon progeny. The usual conversion is 0.2 WLM/year per pCi/L.
> This is used in essentially all case-control studies as well as my
> studies, and in estimates by EPA and other agencies.
Your data is in terms of lung cancer vs. average county radon level NOT lung
cancer vs the radon concentration in the patients house and you do not
multiply the concentration by time to get an exposure. (0.2 WLM/year is
also not a unit of exposure. It is a unit of exposure rate.)
Any structure that you see in your graph could be due to only the people in
10 pCi/L houses. You have no way of knowing. The structure could also be due
to the people who have a neighbor who has a 10 pCi/L house.
Most of what I read on animal experiments that shows a beneficial effect of
radiation requires a specific sequence in which the dose is administered and
is not related to cumulative dose. The latest one required a single dose of
10 to 100 mGy delivered at 0.5 mGy/minute to mice. It also makes more sense
to me that you need an acute dose, strong enough so that the body notices
that an exposure has occurred, to initiate an adaptive response, rather than
a low chronic exposure. Why would you assume that the clear benefit that you
see in your lung cancer vs county radon graph has anything to do with
cumulative dose?
Kai
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