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Re: New arrived article related to . . . Detailed evidence failsto support man-made climate change
- To: RADSAFE <radsafe@list.vanderbilt.edu>, crispy_bird@YAHOO.COM
- Subject: Re: New arrived article related to . . . Detailed evidence failsto support man-made climate change
- From: Susan L Gawarecki <loc@icx.net>
- Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 13:53:56 -0400
- Date: Tue, 5 Aug 2003 12:58:02 -0600
- Organization: ORR Local Oversight Committee
- Reply-To: Susan L Gawarecki <loc@icx.net>
- Sender: owner-radsafe@list.vanderbilt.edu
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John Jacobus wrote:
> "The Discovery of Rapid Climate Change:" Only within
> the past decade have researchers warmed to the
> possibility of abrupt shifts in Earth's climate.
> Sometimes, it takes a while to see what one is not
> prepared to look for.
Actually, geologists have acknowledged this possibility for a long time.
Certain catastrophic events can cause immediate, though usually
temporary, climatic changes. These events include glacial-outburst
floods, volcanic eruptions, meteor impacts, ice-shelf breakups, and
submarine landslides. The climate is fairly delicately balanced
between the atmospheric and oceanic circulation systems, and if you
affect one of these, a disturbance develops that can drive a region
warmer, cooler, wetter or drier. This can happen at a variety of
scales, all the way up to global, and the feedback mechanisms can
restabilize it either back to the same as before or to a different
climatic regime.
In today's world, we have to assume that any climate change is bad.
Crops are planned based on water availability and growing season length.
A repeat of the Little Ice Age would have a huge economic impact in
the northern latitudes (imagine even two consecutive years of regional
crop failures), while significant sea level rise (several inches) due to
global warming would cause untoward harm to coastal communities and
countries such as Holland. Many parts of the world have large
populations that are already overstressing limited agricultural and
ecological resources.
I think we politicize climate studies at our peril. This is one area
where the knowledge and predictive ability can help us mitigate
disaster, no matter if the cause of climate change is natural or man-made.
My own opinion,
Susan Gawarecki
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