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Re: Dirty Bombs: Response to a Threat



Rather than focusing on what limits to use for

decontamination purposes, I would like some thought

about the costs such an enterprise would entail.  As

examples, how much did it cost to clean up the

contamination incident in Goiania, Brazil?  Was it

worth the expense?  My first thought that it was have

been worth it as it was done.  As a more extreme case,

how much did it cost to clean up the World Trade

Center site?  While it did not involve a radiological

event, I think the cost must have been acceptable

since it was done.



Simply put, resources will be expended no matter what

the level of contamination or damage.

  

--- james.g.barnes@att.net wrote:

> Good morning;

> 

> One of the things that bothers me about these

> analyses is the use of current 

> EPA limits as a measure of the impact of an attack

> scenario.  The EPA limits 

> derive from a cost/benefit model that assumes a

> steady state, "normal" 

> financial and political balance.  In this scenario,

> then perhaps a "1E-6 / 1E-

> 4" process makes some sense.

> 

> However, in a dirty bomb scenario, we would be FAR

> from a steady state 

> financial or political situation, and this would

> drastically change the 

> equation regarding the cost/benefit analysis.  Thus,

> I wouldn't be surprised 

> to see much higher limits being tolerated (say) for

> a ten year residency 

> time, or for a "voluntary" residency limit being

> developed. I simply can't 

> imagine that this society would PERMIT a trillion

> dollar loss because of some 

> low level contamination, despite what the rhetoric

> may be in today's scene.

> 

> Do you think for a second that a homeowner is going

> to abandon an (act of 

> war) uninsured $ 350K home because it's above the

> current EPA limits?  What 

> then; legal proceedings to condemn the house? No, I

> think folk's tolerance of 

> things radioactive will change mightly when the

> potential loss is THEIR loss, 

> not some diffuse, amorphous social cost.

> 

> We badly need some reanalysis of this point in our

> planning and discussions.  

> WMD is not business as usual; we need to get some

> realistic assessment going 

> on this point so we will know what to do if and when

> such an attack occurs.

> 

> Similar situation applies to dose limits for first

> responders, etc., but 

> that's a discussion for a different day.

> 

> Jim Barnes, CHP

> > Again this is an excellent brief on RDDs from the

> > Federation Of American Scientists. It  shows the

> > complexities of such an event. Unfortunately in

> action

> > by Congress has not changed the current picture at

> all. 

> > 

> > Gerry Blackwood Ph.D

> > PS: My apologies for any typo's in my previous

> posts. 

> > 

> > Dirty Bombs: Response to a Threat

> > 

> > Henry Kelly testified before the Senate Foreign

> > Relations Committee on March 6, 2002 on the threat

> of

> > radiological attack by terrorist groups. This

> excerpt

> > is taken from the text of his written testimony,

> based

> > on analysis by Michael Levi, Robert Nelson, and

> Jaime

> > Yassif, which can be found by clicking here. 

> > 

> > Surely there is no more unsettling task than

> > considering how to defend our nation against

> > individuals and groups seeking to advance their

> aims by

> > killing and injuring innocent people. But recent

> events

> > make it necessary to take almost inconceivably

> evil

> > acts seriously. Our analysis of this threat has

> reached

> > three principle conclusions: 

> > 

> > http://www.fas.org/faspir/2002/v55n2/dirtybomb.htm

> > 

> > _________________________________________________

> > FindLaw - Free Case Law, Jobs, Library, Community

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> >

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=====

+++++++++++++++++++

"Style is knowing who you are, what you want to say, and not giving a damn"

Gore Vidal



-- John

John Jacobus, MS

Certified Health Physicist

e-mail:  crispy_bird@yahoo.com



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